Katrina Strengthening

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WeatherEmperor
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#141 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:31 am

fci wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:If a Cat 5 is bearing down on Miami expect around 1-2 thousands posts per day in this thread. Even that could be an understatement...

<RICKY>


It would NOT require a cat 5 to bring 1000-2000 posts.
A hurricane, Cat 1, 2 .... bearing down on Miami would generate it.


I said 1-2 thousand posts per DAY, not overall. :D

<RICKY>
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#142 Postby JPmia » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:33 am

I'm not nervous about any kind of hurricane. I am actually glad to know we will be getting some much needed rain down here...but I hope it is not too much. 8-)
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#143 Postby sma10 » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:38 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:
fci wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:If a Cat 5 is bearing down on Miami expect around 1-2 thousands posts per day in this thread. Even that could be an understatement...

<RICKY>


It would NOT require a cat 5 to bring 1000-2000 posts.
A hurricane, Cat 1, 2 .... bearing down on Miami would generate it.


I said 1-2 thousand posts per DAY, not overall. :D

<RICKY>


This thread would get 1000 posts a day if the system is merely redesignated a depression.

It's kind of strange that people have been "nervous" the past 4 days about a disorganized mass of clouds. There probably has been a run on Tums and PeptoBismol in Boca.
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#144 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:40 am

sma10 wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
fci wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:If a Cat 5 is bearing down on Miami expect around 1-2 thousands posts per day in this thread. Even that could be an understatement...

<RICKY>


It would NOT require a cat 5 to bring 1000-2000 posts.
A hurricane, Cat 1, 2 .... bearing down on Miami would generate it.


I said 1-2 thousand posts per DAY, not overall. :D

<RICKY>


This thread would get 1000 posts a day if the system is merely redesignated a depression.

It's kind of strange that people have been "nervous" the past 4 days about a disorganized mass of clouds. There probably has been a run on Tums and PeptoBismol in Boca.


LOL! That was funny. I wouldnt tell him that though :D :D

<RICKY>
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#145 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:40 am

It's kind of strange that people have been "nervous" the past 4 days about a disorganized mass of clouds. There probably has been a run on Tums and PeptoBismol in Boca.


Its because what I predicted 4 days ago is starting to happen....I sure hope it is just a rain event for S. Florida
Last edited by gatorcane on Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#146 Postby Rainband » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:43 am

Looks like it's getting it's act together.
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#147 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:44 am

Rainband wrote:Looks like it's getting it's act together.


It sure does. Gosh I wish that hurricane hunter aircraft would get in there sooner so we could know more.

<RICKY>
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#148 Postby sma10 » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:55 am

boca_chris wrote:
It's kind of strange that people have been "nervous" the past 4 days about a disorganized mass of clouds. There probably has been a run on Tums and PeptoBismol in Boca.


Its because what I predicted 4 days ago is starting to happen....I sure hope it is just a rain event for S. Florida


Let me get this straight.....when you started this thread, it was because you felt that 4 days later the disorganized remains of TD10 would gel into a blob near the Southern Bahamas?

SE Florida may very well get effects from a moderate tropical system a couple of days from now, I'm not denying that. But that means you will have been "nervous" for 6 days running! Not good for the stomach lining. ;)
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#149 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2005 8:57 am

Let me get this straight.....when you started this thread, it was because you felt that 4 days later the disorganized remains of TD10 would gel into a blob near the Southern Bahamas?

SE Florida may very well get effects from a moderate tropical system a couple of days from now, I'm not denying that. But that means you will have been "nervous" for 6 days running! Not good for the stomach lining


The point is that I predicted a system rapidly strengthening and approaching S. Florida late last week (4 days ago)...with some reasons I expounded upon and here we are with this scenario. Of course I'm not losing sleep over it (yet) but I was always very suspicious about this system and becoming more suspicious :eek:
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#150 Postby boca » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:01 am

The system doesn't seem to be moving so a threat to S FL seems premature since its just sitting there.
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#151 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:03 am

The system doesn't seem to be moving so a threat to S FL seems premature since its just sitting there.


Boca, but that is the problem, the slower it moves the faster it will develop and become more of a threat for S. Florida...it's going to be moving over 88-90F water temps soon.
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#152 Postby sma10 » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:04 am

boca_chris wrote:
Let me get this straight.....when you started this thread, it was because you felt that 4 days later the disorganized remains of TD10 would gel into a blob near the Southern Bahamas?

SE Florida may very well get effects from a moderate tropical system a couple of days from now, I'm not denying that. But that means you will have been "nervous" for 6 days running! Not good for the stomach lining


The point is that I predicted a system rapidly strengthening and approaching S. Florida late last week (4 days ago)...with some reasons I expounded upon and here we are with this scenario. Of course I'm not losing sleep over it (yet) but I was always very suspicious about this system and becoming more suspicious :eek:


I'm just playing with you boca ;)
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#153 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:05 am

I'm just playing with you boca
:wink:
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#154 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:05 am

In all fairness to b_c, the system had the look (as did what eventually became Jose) for the last several days. System is too weak to be a real concern outside of the rainfall potential in SE FL and maybe a wind gust or two. But if I was living in Ft. Walton Beach, I'd about be having a cow now.

Of course anything named Katrina or Katerina or Katina sounds like a sexy storm to me. If she wants to, she can come devastate and ravage me. I'll toast her arrival. :D

And if it were to happen that 97L was named prior to 10L, then I hope "Lee" doesn't come to the Gulf but heads up somewhere north of the Mason/Dixon line and exacts some retribution.

Steve
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#155 Postby boca » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:06 am

The point I'm making is that its stationary not moving at all. South Carolina for example has just the same amount of threat as S FL does because its not moving in any particular direction.
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#156 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:07 am

Steve wrote:In all fairness to b_c, the system had the look (as did what eventually became Jose) for the last several days. System is too weak to be a real concern outside of the rainfall potential in SE FL and maybe a wind gust or two. But if I was living in Ft. Walton Beach, I'd about be having a cow now.

Of course anything named Katrina or Katerina or Katina sounds like a sexy storm to me. If she wants to, she can come devastate and ravage me. I'll toast her arrival. :D

And if it were to happen that 97L was named prior to 10L, then I hope "Lee" doesn't come to the Gulf but heads up somewhere north of the Mason/Dixon line and exacts some retribution.

Steve


lol you got a great sense of humor dude :D

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#157 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:09 am

looks to me there is a WNW movement around 5 mph.
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#158 Postby sma10 » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:12 am

boca wrote:The point I'm making is that its stationary not moving at all. South Carolina for example has just the same amount of threat as S FL does because its not moving in any particular direction.


The 12Z models were initialized at 290 degrees at 7 knots. Ironically, the LBAR fwiw, tracks the system over Boca at 49knots then up the seaboard to near the South Carolina coast in 5 days as a 78knot hurricane.
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#159 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:20 am

The 12Z models were initialized at 290 degrees at 7 knots. Ironically, the LBAR fwiw, tracks the system over Boca at 49knots then up the seaboard to near the South Carolina coast in 5 days as a 78knot hurricane.


I forecast by tomorrow I'll be changing this thread title from:

"Who in South Florida is Starting to Get Nervous?"

to

"Who in South Florida is Nervous About Katrina?" :eek:
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#160 Postby boca » Tue Aug 23, 2005 9:22 am

If I were to pick out the center it would be about 50 to 75 miles off the N coast of Cuba just south of the SE Bahamas.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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