Atlantic INVEST 93L: W Africa

[miamicanes177]

this does not look good and I give it only a 10% chance of becoming Chantal now

[JonathanBelles]

Wow, I went to bed early, and wake up early and find out theres an invest! Idoesnt look to bad on IR, however I dont see this becoming Chantal.

[DrewFL]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 415 NM SSE OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS IS ALONG 21W S OF 14N. THE WAVE IS MOVING JUST N OF DUE
WEST NEAR 20 KT AND REMAINS WELL DEFINED FOR EARLY JUNE. A SFC
LOW IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 9N. ALTHOUGH CLIMATOLOGY IS NOT
ON ITS SIDE...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE IT ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS AND COOLER WATER TEMPERATURES. THE DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DIMINISHED A BIT OVER THE LAST
SEVERAL HOURS...THOUGH SCATTERED MODERATE STILL EXISTS FROM
9N-11N BETWEEN 21W-24W...AND S OF THE LOW FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN
19W-25W.

So, we're all just watching.

[windstorm99]

Early morning visible...Not as impressive as it was last night but we'll see what happens during the day.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Doe's not look as good, also it appears to be going west-northwestward. In is now above 10 north; which is moving it into the SAL/colder water. I know longer expect this to develop...Another bits the dust.

[wxman57]

The two waves in the path of 93L have lost all convection overnight, a sign that 93L is moving into an increasingly hostile environment. Though it does appear to have a well-defined LLC, convection is on the decrease. Chances of development are diminishing. The NHC isn't inclined to name something so far east unless they see more than just a spin. Thunderstorms will have to be increasing and that's not happening. Perhaps I won't have to work all day.

[HURAKAN]

If it had stayed below 10N the story may had been a little different. Also, it's moving 20 to 25 mph, that extremely fast for a system to organized. Chantal in 2001 dissipated at one point due to its fast forward movement.

[windstorm99]

Updated visible image...Not all that impressive.

[HurricaneRobert]

I'm glad this is dying. I'm not ready for the hurricane season to ramp up with cape verde waves.

[JonathanBelles]

Wow, It looks like there is red eye over Africa.

[Aric Dunn]

its done.. moving to far north and into more stable environment.. best chance... what ever is left over moves int th e carrib in about 5 days

[Evil Jeremy]

this thing is dead and so is the season.

[MusicCityMan]

We have had 2 storms already.. the seasons nowhere near dead

[wzrgirl1]

this thing is dead and so is the season.

I am confused?

[OURAGAN]

Last update of this system on NRL Site 9.3N/23.6W, under 10N

[Chacor]

And Evil Jeremy's post was meant as sarcasm.

[TheRingo]

the mjo has moved over africa and gave this a chance to develop. It's moving pretty fast and leaving the region. It could re-emerge in the caribbeans if it can hold together.

[canegrl04]

WELL DEFINED FOR THIS EARLY IN JUNE .


Even though its fading out,this is an indication that we will likely see a long train of storms developing from here soon

[Aric Dunn]

it is now moving over 79 to 80 degree water.. and it will drop to about 78 to 79 through the day if it keeps heading just north of west..

well most of the north part of the circ is sitting over the sub 80 degree line.. so its dead..

[drezee]

Certain things are needed for this system to survive to the Caribbean:

1. Stay LOW: this WNW crap has to end only due West will due
2. Slow down: That environment in front of you is not nice...give it a little time to change
3. Maintain: You don't have to be a TS just maintain periodic moderate convection


Things that may be over looked:
1. water temps aren't so bad...

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=13001

80F nighttime SST at 12N 38W
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=E&tz=STN