Signs of change from global models

[Vortex]

Right over the islands at H-204

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif

[AJC3]

This run features a close brush by of the FL east coast between H312 and H336.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_312l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_336l.gif

[cycloneye]

Anyone is invited to post the runs of the other global models to see how they do comparing with GFS.After I finish with the GFS posting,I will go to sleep.

[Vortex]

Very INTERESTING!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_288l.gif

[cycloneye]

00z GFS at 312 hours.

Hey Floridians.!!

[Vortex]

Well..Off 2 bed...Welcome 2 the 2007 Hurricane season...

[Andrew92]

The one piece of good news: It IS a long ways out.

Watch it? Yes. But is this guaranteed to happen? No.

-Andrew92

[cycloneye]

00z GFS at 348 hours.

Goes up to the Carolinas.Of course is a long way out but watch the runs of the models for changes and consensus if they go that far..But definitly it looks like something will happen with this wave.

[skysummit]

Ok, now let's just add the 2,000 mile cone of death to this and we'll be ready to roll! LOL...j/j Yea Luis...finally looks like we'll be discussing the "real tropics" this weekend into next week.

[Cyclone1]

Oh, geez, you're telling me I could be staring down a hurricane by next week? That's crazy. But I don't get outta bed for much less than a category three.

Well, I'm goin to bed, I'll see what 12z has to say about it.

[cycloneye]

00z GFS loop



I leave you with the 00z GFS loop.Interesting to observe this loop.

[flwxwatcher]

Further West with this run compared to previous ( model runs when this system was picked up) Model runs. Still along way out and plenty of time to watch.

[flwxwatcher]

0Z Canadian

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation


0z CMC at 240 HR

http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_240_e.html

0z ukmet

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation

[MBismyPlayground]

I will trust you all to give me a heads up if it begins to even come close to my neck of the woods.... right now looking at the models gives me chills all over but..... as well all know, these models are subject to change so.....no worries... but just in case

[wxmann_91]

Ewall's going to take some more time to come out, and when you guys wake up, you can post the ECMWF output from 0-168 hr, but for now, just for kicks, this is post-168 hr:

[Meso]

Wow.. the Euro is also showing something now.. I think now with a whooole lot of model agreement on the same kind of feature in the same kind of area at the same times that this really is looking very possible.. Nothing to panic about.. Wouldn't worry until there is a depression and models have been initialized on it..But definitely something interesting to watch...

[Aquawind]

Umm The 06Z GFS has me convinced along with the other models and observations we will be watching something next week.. tad bit of low pressure in the MDR..

[Meso]

Not showing that deep system anymore.. but it's done this before and then on the next run it showed it in full fury again.. So we will see.. But now with the other models showing something.. and GFS still pushing off lows.. Something is bound to happen soon

[HURRICANELONNY]

Looks like August will be booming with activity. Model consensus is getting better and the signs are there. SAL is diminishing some and SST are slowly rebounding from a little below normal in the central Atlantic.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... 6.2007.gif

[Berwick Bay]

Playground wrote
I will trust you all to give me a heads up if it begins to even come close to my neck of the woods.... right now looking at the models gives me chills all over but..... as well all know, these models are subject to change so.....no worries... but just in case
____________________________________________________
Playground, don't you let those mean models give you "chills all over".