TD 10...Back Again

[WeatherEmperor]

here is the latest model run I can find that shows close to where they are looking now -
http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... /late1.png


doesn't seem too many from this are jumping on the band wagon anymore.

if you look at the water vapor look for the western atlantic you can see an upper low diving down to around the area where the remnants of TD10 are currently at north of Hispanola. If it continues this way then hopefully that will spell the end for this thing. It could be at its last hurrah

<RICKY>

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[artist]

pressures do appear to be dropping someowhat from yesterday in the area though.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/caribm.html

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Caribbean.shtml

[Frank P]

what will it take for this thing to die out already?

<RICKY>

The great state of Mississippi casts its 6 tropical electoral votes for the remants of TD10, or parts thereof, or areas of association within or near, or any and all reference about to just DIE and be gone in order to put us all out of our misery and frustration on having to deal with said and alleged tropical system from this point forward....

if nothing else, never in the history of tropical monitoring have so many posted so much about so little....

presently company certainly included....

[WeatherEmperor]

what will it take for this thing to die out already?

<RICKY>

The great state of Mississippi casts its 6 tropical electoral votes for the remants of TD10, or parts thereof, or areas of association within or near, or any and all reference about to just DIE and be gone in order to put us all out of our misery and frustration on having to deal with said and alleged tropical system from this point forward....

if nothing else, never in the history of tropical monitoring have so many posted so much about so little....

presently company certainly included....

...lol Im not sure I understood everything but I hope you also want this thing to just go away so we can get on with our lives.

<RICKY>

[Frank P]

uh... yep exactly Ricky...

[frederic79]

I wholeheartely agree, Frank P. This has been by far the biggest and most frustrating investment (waste) of my time talking about and watching a bonefide nothing develop into nothing that I can remember. TD10 never has more than a seabreeze associated with it and I hope now that the NHC will finally write it off in their TWO so there are no reminders to further torture us. With some discipline, I will move onto more promising endeavors for awhile, like watching the Saints... lol.

[Cape Verde]

TD10 never has more than a seabreeze associated with it and I hope now that the NHC will finally write it off in their TWO so there are no reminders to further torture us. With some discipline, I will move onto more promising endeavors for awhile, like watching the Saints... lol.

<P>Ouch, that's gonna leave a mark!

[WeatherEmperor]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

[wxwatcher91]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

well as far as I can tell it's dying off here for sure... just considering this page, asside from three on-topic posts at the top, the rest are refering to how "long and torturing" TD-10s life has been

[Stratosphere747]

Well it is doing the same thing as it has over the last few afternoons...

Looks to be a spin just N or Hispainola, but must be mid-level..

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... 16vis.html

[CalmBeforeStorm]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

It seems to me that the main reason that most people on this board are discounting the remnants of TD10 (actually the main weather now is more closely associated with the wave that was behind it) is because they are "tired" of it. Tere is still a decent mid-level rotation at about 21n and 69w and there is convection that is somewhat curved into that rotation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/rgb-loop.html

The Canadian, the GFS, the Nogaps and the Euro all depict a closed low developing from this system and still being somewhere around florida in 5 days.

If all of this was happening with a system that had just appeared I guarantee you that interest would be high.

[WeatherEmperor]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

It seems to me that the main reason that most people on this board are discounting the remnants of TD10 (actually the main weather now is more closely associated with the wave that was behind it) is because they are "tired" of it. Tere is still a decent mid-level rotation at about 21n and 69w and there is convection that is somewhat curved into that rotation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/rgb-loop.html

The Canadian, the GFS, the Nogaps and the Euro all depict a closed low developing from this system and still being somewhere around florida in 5 days.

If all of this was happening with a system that had just appeared I guarantee you that interest would be high.

Yes you are correct. People are tired of it. its kinda hard to blame them really. The funny thing is that eventhough the models you said are developing this system, they have been doing that for days upon days already and still nothing has formed out of it. If you look at the NHC west atlantic water vapor look you can see a Upper Low diving down to where the remnants of TD10 are and I dont see how that can be favorable for development. I dunno, but after 7 days of nothing developing eventhough alot of models have said "develop" for each of those 7 days, its kinda of a hint that nothing will develop afterall. We shall see though.

<RICKY>

[CalmBeforeStorm]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

It seems to me that the main reason that most people on this board are discounting the remnants of TD10 (actually the main weather now is more closely associated with the wave that was behind it) is because they are "tired" of it. Tere is still a decent mid-level rotation at about 21n and 69w and there is convection that is somewhat curved into that rotation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/rgb-loop.html

The Canadian, the GFS, the Nogaps and the Euro all depict a closed low developing from this system and still being somewhere around florida in 5 days.

If all of this was happening with a system that had just appeared I guarantee you that interest would be high.

Yes you are correct. People are tired of it. its kinda hard to blame them really. The funny thing is that eventhough the models you said are developing this system, they have been doing that for days upon days already and still nothing has formed out of it. If you look at the NHC west atlantic water vapor look you can see a Upper Low diving down to where the remnants of TD10 are and I dont see how that can be favorable for development. I dunno, but after 7 days of nothing developing eventhough alot of models have said "develop" for each of those 7 days, its kinda of a hint that nothing will develop afterall. We shall see though.

<RICKY>

Actually I've been following this system very closely because of the proximity to the U.S. and this is the first time I recall the models developing a closed low from it, at least since it was TD 10. I would argue that this system, even with a low probability for development, is more of a threat then 97L to the U.S.

[Wnghs2007]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

It seems to me that the main reason that most people on this board are discounting the remnants of TD10 (actually the main weather now is more closely associated with the wave that was behind it) is because they are "tired" of it. Tere is still a decent mid-level rotation at about 21n and 69w and there is convection that is somewhat curved into that rotation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/rgb-loop.html

The Canadian, the GFS, the Nogaps and the Euro all depict a closed low developing from this system and still being somewhere around florida in 5 days.

If all of this was happening with a system that had just appeared I guarantee you that interest would be high.

Yes you are correct. People are tired of it. its kinda hard to blame them really. The funny thing is that eventhough the models you said are developing this system, they have been doing that for days upon days already and still nothing has formed out of it. If you look at the NHC west atlantic water vapor look you can see a Upper Low diving down to where the remnants of TD10 are and I dont see how that can be favorable for development. I dunno, but after 7 days of nothing developing eventhough alot of models have said "develop" for each of those 7 days, its kinda of a hint that nothing will develop afterall. We shall see though.

<RICKY>

Actually I've been following this system very closely because of the proximity to the U.S. and this is the first time I recall the models developing a closed low from it, at least since it was TD 10. I would argue that this system, even with a low probability for development, is more of a threat then 97L to the U.S.

Totally agree, I have quietly been lurking and watching the models ever since this degenerated and this is the first time in quite awhile that the models have developed this into anything. Well atleast from the Euros Standpoint.

[WeatherEmperor]

Im pretty darn sure that once that wave near Africa develops into TD11 the talk about TD10 will really begin to die off.

<RICKY>

It seems to me that the main reason that most people on this board are discounting the remnants of TD10 (actually the main weather now is more closely associated with the wave that was behind it) is because they are "tired" of it. Tere is still a decent mid-level rotation at about 21n and 69w and there is convection that is somewhat curved into that rotation.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/rgb-loop.html

The Canadian, the GFS, the Nogaps and the Euro all depict a closed low developing from this system and still being somewhere around florida in 5 days.

If all of this was happening with a system that had just appeared I guarantee you that interest would be high.

Yes you are correct. People are tired of it. its kinda hard to blame them really. The funny thing is that eventhough the models you said are developing this system, they have been doing that for days upon days already and still nothing has formed out of it. If you look at the NHC west atlantic water vapor look you can see a Upper Low diving down to where the remnants of TD10 are and I dont see how that can be favorable for development. I dunno, but after 7 days of nothing developing eventhough alot of models have said "develop" for each of those 7 days, its kinda of a hint that nothing will develop afterall. We shall see though.

<RICKY>

Actually I've been following this system very closely because of the proximity to the U.S. and this is the first time I recall the models developing a closed low from it, at least since it was TD 10. I would argue that this system, even with a low probability for development, is more of a threat then 97L to the U.S.

Fair enough. Ill give that to ya. Ill check back in this thread tomorrow afternoon and see what development has occured with this system, if at all, and see if the models are going to be incorrect as they have been the past few days yet again.

<RICKY>

[hicksta]

models show gulf... then turn to near to northwest

[artist]

interesting the different initializations there...

[dwg71]

interesting the different initializations there...

Because there is nothing there. 10 has been dead nearly a week, are we still thinking this is going to develop???

There's a better chance for TC development in Arizona early next week.

[ROCK]

interesting the different initializations there...

Because there is nothing there. 10 has been dead nearly a week, are we still thinking this is going to develop???

There's a better chance for TC development in Arizona early next week.

yeah there is nothing there. Just a bunch of convection with some mid level twisting north of HISPAN....and the models are hinting could close off once across the islands...but your right its dead.....

As I recall Ivan II was a bunch of nothing-ness until it sat in the GOM for awhile...I wouldnt write it off just yet...

[NorthGaWeather]

interesting the different initializations there...

Because there is nothing there. 10 has been dead nearly a week, are we still thinking this is going to develop???

There's a better chance for TC development in Arizona early next week.

Wanna put money on that?