ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

[KWT]

Yep Cycloneye, probably within the next 7 days even with Hanna, Ike and probably 99L as well.

Odds just increased in a big way for a top 10 finish, need to get 183 or higher to do that.

[RattleMan]

01/2100z, Atlantic is ahead 16.81:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.14%
   Bertha   28.3675   41.72%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.50%
   Dolly   5.3125   7.81%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.25%
   Fay   6.715   9.88%
   Gustav   18.205   26.78%
   Hanna   3.825   5.63%
   Ike   0.2025   0.30%
   TOTAL   67.9875   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.62%
   Boris   7.025   13.73%
   Cristina   1.21   2.36%
   Douglas   0.49   0.96%
   Elida   11.7375   22.93%
   Fausto   10.125   19.78%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.25%
   Hernan   11.65   22.76%
   Iselle   1.295   2.53%
   Julio   1.055   2.06%
         
   TOTAL   51.1775   


[cycloneye]

The EPAC has been stuck at the 51 number for almost 2 weeks while the Atlantic bombs in activity raising its ACE numbers daily.My 124 number looks like it will be short.

[HURAKAN]

Ike and future Josephine may be the stars of ACE this week.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Ok, I will admit that this season is more like 2003, 2001.

[KWT]

2003 wasn't that far off the top 10 highest ACE seasons ever with 173, at this stage I believe it was behind where we are at this stage, though of course Isabel added 63.28 in mid September!

[F. Prefect]

The way I like to approach contests (polls) such as this is to stay away from the middle (where the number is likely to end up, but also likely to be shared by others) and live on the edge.

251

F. Prefect

[Weatherfreak000]

Ok, I will admit that this season is more like 2003, 2001.

You need to think before you voice your opinion, Matt I have sent you a PM about this...



This is the second time i've seen you post our season being like another...and it's NOT EVEN AT THE PEAK YET. It's UTTERLY RIDICULOUS. Please think before you post this information.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Ok, I will admit that this season is more like 2003, 2001.

You need to think before you voice your opinion, Matt I have sent you a PM about this...



This is the second time i've seen you post our season being like another...and it's NOT EVEN AT THE PEAK YET. It's UTTERLY RIDICULOUS. Please think before you post this information.

NO IT IS NOT RIDICULOUS 2003 was close to a top 10# seasons. It is not ridiculous to state your option. Please do not freaking post to me any more. Also stop telling me to think it is making me mad.



What is Riduculous about thinking it could get close to the top 10 highest ace years? Makes no sense.

Also what is wrong with someone posting what they think?

[KWT]

Well actually Matt iwas outside the top 10 but I know what your trying to say, a very high ACE and I agree.

Its pretty clear that we will be close to 100 by the 10th of September with possibly 3 tropical cyclones adding to the ACE total, two of those likely to be long trackers able to ratch up a good 25-40 each.

By the way we are 187% above the normal for the time of year!

[Weatherfreak000]

Ok, I will admit that this season is more like 2003, 2001.

You need to think before you voice your opinion, Matt I have sent you a PM about this...



This is the second time i've seen you post our season being like another...and it's NOT EVEN AT THE PEAK YET. It's UTTERLY RIDICULOUS. Please think before you post this information.

NO IT IS NOT RIDICULOUS 2003 was close to a top 10# seasons. It is not ridiculous to state your option. Please do not freaking post to me any more. Also stop telling me to think it is making me mad.



What is Riduculous about thinking it could get close to the top 10 highest ace years? Makes no sense.

Also what is wrong with someone posting what they think?

Im only stating simple facts here matt no reason to be angry. The season isn't over, its just barely at the halfway point and there is absolutely no reason to compare it to any other season. As a matter of fact, I recall earlier in the season when nothing was forming you blatantly stating inaccuracies (as you are now) that this was gonna be an "Average" season and we wouldn't see much activity.

The point isn't that your wrong or not...or that you don't deserve to voice your opinion. Just that for all you know we can have a massive SAL and TUTT outbreak and have weak storms for the rest of the season...or very little activity...and then you'd be wrong. Wait till the season is over....before you judge it.

[cycloneye]

Ok lets cal down please.Lets discuss all about the ACE numbers in a tranquil way.

[cycloneye]

Who has the updated ACE numbers as of the 11 PM advisories? Wikipedia is very lazy updating them.

[RattleMan]

02/0300z, Atlantic is 17.7525 ahead:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.12%
   Bertha   28.3675   41.15%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.44%
   Dolly   5.3125   7.71%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.22%
   Fay   6.715   9.74%
   Gustav   18.455   26.77%
   Hanna   4.315   6.26%
   Ike   0.405   0.59%
   TOTAL   68.93   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.62%
   Boris   7.025   13.73%
   Cristina   1.21   2.36%
   Douglas   0.49   0.96%
   Elida   11.7375   22.93%
   Fausto   10.125   19.78%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.25%
   Hernan   11.65   22.76%
   Iselle   1.295   2.53%
   Julio   1.055   2.06%
         
   TOTAL   51.1775   


[KWT]

Now we just need Td10 to join the party and we shall be getting pretty large daily increases I'd have thought, not far away from 2007's ACE now, going to beat either today or tomorrow.

[senorpepr]

Why is Cristobal's ACE listed as 3.06? Okay, I know "why". The folks on wikipedia claim that the last advisory Cristobal was extratropical. I disagree and come up with 3.22. This is why I disagree: First, the initial position on the forecast/advisory does not mention extratropical status. All the forecast points do, but the initial does not. Second, the headline of the public advisory states, "...CRISTOBAL BECOMING AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE..." Becoming extratropical and being extratropical are different things.

Someone else convince me otherwise.

Until then, Cristobal has an ACE of 3.22

[RL3AO]

Are you talking about advisory 18? If so it says...

INITIAL 23/0900Z 44.7N 55.9W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 23/1800Z 45.3N 51.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 24/0600Z 44.4N 44.8W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 24/1800Z 42.6N 38.7W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 25/0600Z...ABSORBED

[cycloneye]

Updated ACE numbers as of 11 AM EDT advisories on Hanna,Ike and Josephine.By tonight 2008 will surpass the 2007 season that had 72.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 5.1650
09L (Ike) Operational 0.8575
10L (Josephine) Operational 0.1225
Total  70.355


[senorpepr]

Are you talking about advisory 18? If so it says...

INITIAL 23/0900Z 44.7N 55.9W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 23/1800Z 45.3N 51.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 24/0600Z 44.4N 44.8W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 24/1800Z 42.6N 38.7W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 25/0600Z...ABSORBED

You know what, I completely forgot about the discussion. Point taken. Plus, in the discussion it even says, "...CRISTOBAL IS DECLARED EXTRATROPICAL..."

Thanks for convincing me otherwise!

[RL3AO]

Thanks for convincing me otherwise!

My pleasure.