Invest 93L Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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boca
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#161 Postby boca » Thu Nov 17, 2005 9:54 am

Question of the hour is if it does form which direction would it take.
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#162 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:01 am

Yeah im very impressed with this system all morning. Looks rather large. I think it will bring rain to south FL and head on out to the Bahamas.
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#163 Postby Steve H. » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:08 am

Very interesting. A LLCC is definitely seen on visible imagery off the coast of Nicaragua (over water) and seems to be heading/elongating north. How this plays out is anyones guess right now!
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#164 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:10 am

Yeah i agree the recon will tell us.
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#165 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:10 am

oh i just relized cool your from palm bay too. :D
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#166 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:18 am

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM NICARAGUA AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NORTHWARD ACROSS HONDURAS
INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA...AND THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN
JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS. WHILE DEVELOPMENT IS
LIKELY TO BE SLOW DUE TO THE PROXIMITY TO LAND... THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS IN
THIS AREA...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM


11:30 AM TWO
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#167 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:19 am

Thanks well see what the plane finds hmmm... i still think it will become a TD. well see.
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#168 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:20 am

cycloneye wrote:CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM NICARAGUA AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NORTHWARD ACROSS HONDURAS
INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA...AND THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN
JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS. WHILE DEVELOPMENT IS
LIKELY TO BE SLOW DUE TO THE PROXIMITY TO LAND... THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OR NOT A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS IN
THIS AREA...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM


11:30 AM TWO


They should find a LLC this time..
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#169 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:20 am

Yeah i totally agree with that. I sure think they will.
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#170 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:22 am

It looks very promising.
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#171 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:22 am

It sure does did i get this right int is interacting with what was TD 27?
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#172 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:24 am

mike815 wrote:It sure does did i get this right int is interacting with what was TD 27?


Probably, it's absorbing TD 27 or what is left of TD 27 is becoming part of the whole tropical disturbance.
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#173 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:26 am

whoa will that help it develope further? thanks
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#174 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:28 am

If they find a vortex it will be easily the largest TD of the year so far.
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#175 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:28 am

mike815 wrote:whoa will that help it develope further? thanks


Not exactly, it will just help to increase the instability in the area.
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#176 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:29 am

ok then. didnt think it would.
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#177 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:30 am

Image
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#178 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:32 am

hmmm... i thought it would recurve and not move inland over central AM.
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#179 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:34 am

mike815 wrote:hmmm... i thought it would recurve and not move inland over central AM.
These tracks may change once we get recon data. I found the chart updating again so I put it up.
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#180 Postby mike815 » Thu Nov 17, 2005 11:35 am

ok thanks thats tru.
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