Tropical Depression 3=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

max · #161 Postby **max** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:39 pm

Extremeweatherguy sometimes their late :cry:

#162 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:39 pm

Looks like it will just skirt the DR to the south in about 48 hours:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... testBW.gif

Josephine96 · #163 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:40 pm

The waiting game for #3 continues :wink:

Stratosphere747 · #164 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:40 pm

bvigal wrote:OK, we have hashed out the issue of sensitivity and it's all been said. Please, this thing is blowing up pretty fast the last 6 hours, and even though it MIGHT fizzle, it MIGHT NOT. And we in NE Carib have a VERY short time to get ready. A TS can cause flooding, mudslides, days without power, and life-threatening situations for inexperienced mariners out on a what is still a 400-strong charter boat fleet. If I could have my wish, it would be to see posts containing well-thought out opinions, facts and resources - USEFUL posts here, not a lot of time-consuming fluff to wade through. Not just for this thread, but for all storms for the whole season. Can we elevate ourselves to that level? Oh crap I just burned dinner!

Good stuff bvigal....

Time that some of the needless posts over the last few days, cease, including my own.

#165 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:43 pm

Brent you are refreshing right?

#166 Postby **canetracker** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:44 pm

bvigal wrote:OK, we have hashed out the issue of sensitivity and it's all been said. Please, this thing is blowing up pretty fast the last 6 hours, and even though it MIGHT fizzle, it MIGHT NOT. And we in NE Carib have a VERY short time to get ready. A TS can cause flooding, mudslides, days without power, and life-threatening situations for inexperienced mariners out on a what is still a 400-strong charter boat fleet. If I could have my wish, it would be to see posts containing well-thought out opinions, facts and resources - USEFUL posts here, not a lot of time-consuming fluff to wade through. Not just for this thread, but for all storms for the whole season. Can we elevate ourselves to that level? Oh crap I just burned dinner!

Well said! Even a TD or TS can be life threatening as you have stated. My thoughts are certainly with all members in yours and surrounding areas as well as the people who may be at risk. Be safe and stock up on supplies.

shaggy · #167 Postby **shaggy** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:45 pm

more importantly we should all be thankful that this system waited this long to develop had it developed earlier it might have been a much more formidable storm to deal with than what it is right!Stay safe BVIgal

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #168 Postby **senorpepr** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:46 pm

Links and satellite imagery for Three (03L) is now available on the Storm2k Worldwide Tropical Update.

http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/
http://tropicalupdate.storm2k.org/atl.htm

Website · #169 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:Brent you are refreshing right?

Yes... impatiently and repeatedly! :lol:

#170 Postby **Fego** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:46 pm

1005 MB ACCORDING TO:

:eek:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

WindRunner · #171 Postby **WindRunner** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:48 pm

Fego wrote:1005 MB ACCORDING TO:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

No, the home page is Fabio. Click the 03L to see that it is still 1009mb.

#172 Postby **wx247** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:48 pm

Fego wrote:1005 MB ACCORDING TO:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

That is Fabio!

#173 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:48 pm

Fego wrote:1005 MB ACCORDING TO:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

No,that is for Tropical Storm Fabio.

#174 Postby **brunota2003** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:48 pm

Fego wrote:1005 MB ACCORDING TO:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

03LNONAME.30kts-1009mb-164N-589W, nope...1009 according to NRL...the first image on NRL is of an EPAC storm...

#175 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:48 pm

WindRunner wrote:
benny wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Regit wrote:I would think TS watches will go up, so probably every 3 hours.

EDIT: Of course, forecasts still only ever 6 hours.

That is a sure bet,about TS watches and warnings that will be posted for some of the islands in the northern Leewards,maybe further west in the BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico?

The pressure drop to 1005 mb and Dvorak now at 2.0/2.0, sure happened pretty fast after the 5:30 TWO! I think this system is taking itself seriously.

1005 mb? from where? an observation of this?

NRL has it at 1005mb right now.

Don't trust the NRL pressures. There is no way the pressure is 1005mb.

max · #176 Postby **max** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:49 pm

senorpepr wrote:Links and satellite imagery for Three (03L) is now available on the Storm2k Worldwide Tropical Update.

http://tropicalupdates.nhcwx.com/
http://tropicalupdate.storm2k.org/atl.htm

Wow I didn't realize how hot the Gulf of Mexico is this year even! Its that really dark red the whole Gulf of Mexico it looks like! :eek:

Even some of the east coast right along it is! :eek:

HurricaneJim · #177 Postby **HurricaneJim** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:49 pm

Well, if there's charters out, I'd be getting on a radio and telling them they got 24hrs to find a hole and tie up.

In any case, it the models are reading it right, it will slide past y'all and into the GoM. Water temp there's got me worried. I'm praying not NOLA or MS again...

Jim
http://www.myspace.com/hurricanejim
http://www.myspace.com/stormchasetroopers

WindRunner · #178 Postby **WindRunner** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:50 pm

AFM - check the conversation below that and the huge dogpile we just made above your post - it's actually at 1009 per NRL, which may be a touch low, but is somewhat accurate.

Josephine96 · #179 Postby **Josephine96** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:51 pm

Still waiting for advisory #1

Ola · #180 Postby **Ola** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:51 pm

Maybe there is no TD yet and it was a mistake by NRL lol..... maybe...

Tropical Depression 3=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Who is online