Analysis,Models,Sat Pics of Low in Western Atlantic

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SCMedic
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#161 Postby SCMedic » Sun May 06, 2007 11:03 am

So what are we looking at here along the coast in Charleston? We definately could use the rain, but is it realistic to think we're going to see much out of this?
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#162 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun May 06, 2007 11:07 am

thanks for the explanations wxman57!
Interesting stuff about pressure gradients
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#163 Postby NDG » Sun May 06, 2007 11:20 am

I new it! New GFS starts trending closer to the european models as a weaker system and much farther S & W tracking as a weak low pressure eventually into FL.
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#164 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 06, 2007 11:21 am

CrazyC83 wrote:They should consider putting 90L.Invest on this system. I give it about a 20% chance of becoming Andrea.


You want to see this? :) :darrow:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL902006) ON 20060609 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060609 0000 060609 1200 060610 0000 060610 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.9N 88.2W 18.3N 88.0W 18.7N 88.4W 19.5N 89.5W
BAMM 17.9N 88.2W 18.1N 88.4W 18.3N 89.0W 18.7N 89.9W
A98E 17.9N 88.2W 18.5N 88.1W 19.2N 88.3W 20.7N 87.8W
LBAR 17.9N 88.2W 18.6N 88.3W 19.8N 88.8W 21.4N 89.7W
SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 25KTS 26KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060611 0000 060612 0000 060613 0000 060614 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.8N 90.7W 23.3N 92.4W 24.9N 92.7W 26.2N 92.0W
BAMM 19.6N 90.8W 21.7N 92.2W 23.2N 93.0W 24.1N 94.5W
A98E 22.0N 88.2W 23.8N 88.4W 25.6N 87.3W 28.5N 81.9W
LBAR 23.4N 90.7W 27.4N 90.2W 29.0N 85.8W 30.2N 80.8W
SHIP 43KTS 51KTS 51KTS 46KTS
DSHP 31KTS 39KTS 39KTS 34KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.9N LONCUR = 88.2W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 17.3N LONM12 = 88.1W DIRM12 = 351DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 15.8N LONM24 = 88.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Disregard the above as it's from last year.

If they see that the low gets some tropical chacteristics,then 90L will pop.But as long it stays cold core no.
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#165 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 11:22 am

mean trick luis!
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#166 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 06, 2007 11:25 am

fact789 wrote:mean trick luis!


There has to be some humor besides the anaylisis. :)
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#167 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 11:32 am

cycloneye wrote:
fact789 wrote:mean trick luis!


There has to be some humor besides the anaylisis. :)


:grrr: :lol: :lol:
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#168 Postby punkyg » Sun May 06, 2007 11:49 am

fact789 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
fact789 wrote:mean trick luis!


There has to be some humor besides the anaylisis. :)


:grrr: :lol: :lol:


Not funny at all! :x
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#169 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 06, 2007 11:53 am

12z NAM Loop

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

The 12z NAM moves the low westsouthwestward,while the lowest pressure is 1000 mbs.
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#170 Postby Thunder44 » Sun May 06, 2007 11:59 am

I think it has a chance to be sub-tropical storm by mid-week. But probably not a tropical storm or hurricane. SST's are too cold, upper-level shear will be high and it may moving inland by then as wxman57 suggested and per the latest models.
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#171 Postby Rainband » Sun May 06, 2007 12:05 pm

It better not rain. I just spent an hour detailing my car :grr:
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#172 Postby hial2 » Sun May 06, 2007 12:08 pm

Rainband wrote:It better not rain. I just spent an hour detailing my car :grr:



Did you break the watering rules? Are you odd...or even? :D
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#173 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun May 06, 2007 12:17 pm

Rainband wrote:It better not rain. I just spent an hour detailing my car :grr:


It better rain! put a tarp over your car.
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#174 Postby CajunMama » Sun May 06, 2007 12:29 pm

Rainband wrote:It better not rain. I just spent an hour detailing my car :grr:


Isn't that when it usually rains? Right after you wash your car? :lol:
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#175 Postby Rainband » Sun May 06, 2007 12:39 pm

I know Kathy. :D I didn't know we had restrictions here. oops :raincloud:
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#176 Postby punkyg » Sun May 06, 2007 12:42 pm

Its raining where i live YES! :rain:
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#177 Postby Nimbus » Sun May 06, 2007 1:15 pm

They now show a low with 1010 mb surface pressure near 30N.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

click the NWS fronts button after the loop loads.
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#178 Postby feederband » Sun May 06, 2007 1:39 pm

punkyg wrote:Its raining where i live YES! :rain:




Could you PM some please... :wink:
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#179 Postby punkyg » Sun May 06, 2007 1:53 pm

feederband wrote:
punkyg wrote:Its raining where i live YES! :rain:




Could you PM some please... :wink:


:na: Shoot i need all the rain i can get my plants need water
and i'm burning up! stupid broken air conditioner!
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Rainband

#180 Postby Rainband » Sun May 06, 2007 2:14 pm

feederband wrote:
punkyg wrote:Its raining where i live YES! :rain:




Could you PM some please... :wink:
Your going to get hammered later on this afternoon. Don't worry you will see rain. :D
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