Global Models Thread for 90L

[cycloneye]

This thread will continue to be the source of information for GFS model only for all the runs.Lets not make threads for every run please.

Lets see what the 12z run of GFS shows starting at 11:30 AM EDT so stay here for all the information.

[cycloneye]

This thread is for the scenarios from CMC,NOGAPS,UKMET and EURO models.GFS has its thread so post the runs from the mentioned models here.Can you imagine if the forum has threads for every run from all the models?

[O Town]

Awwww i want the storm to come to me.
I really don't care if its another katrina like storm cause those storms bore me.

I only come here once in a blue moon now, and posts like this are the reason. Mods get bent out of shape about "chatty" posts, and yet allow ones like this to go unchecked. Bah. And I'm not the only one--I know of at least 4-5 people I see on a daily basis who also stopped reading S2K after Katrina because of posts like these.

And happy birthday, Luis, I always did enjoy your posts

Good to see you back around, I always enjoyed your posts and wondered where you went. I understand your frustration but there are ALWAYS going to those few who rub you the wrong way. And hey, we have an ignore feature now. Hope to see you around more frequently.

[DrewFL]

This thread is for the scenarios from CMC,NOGAPS,UKMET and EURO models.GFS has its thread so post the runs from the mentioned models here.Can you imagine if the forum has threads for every run from all the models?

I'm having a hard time with all the threads already in existence.

[x-y-no]

I merged the "6z run poses threat to islands" thread in here since it was all about the GFS also.

[cycloneye]

This thread is for the scenarios from CMC,NOGAPS,UKMET and EURO models.GFS has its thread so post the runs from the mentioned models here.Can you imagine if the forum has threads for every run from all the models?

I'm having a hard time with all the threads already in existence.

That is why we am trying to narrow the threads to a couple dedicated to models and one to the system itself.We dont want a bunch of threads about the same system as that confuses people.

[cycloneye]

I merged the "6z run poses threat to islands" thread in here since it was all about the GFS also.

Thank you Jan.

[storms in NC]

This thread is for the scenarios from CMC,NOGAPS,UKMET and EURO models.GFS has its thread so post the runs from the mentioned models here.Can you imagine if the forum has threads for every run from all the models?

I'm having a hard time with all the threads already in existence.

That is why we am trying to narrow the threads to a couple dedicated to models and one to the system itself.We dont want a bunch of threads about the same system as that confuses people.

Thanks I am going

[windycity]

When is a realistic timeframe when we can expect a invest? Also, the strength of the ridge will determine, along with the other factors, where this will go. When can we start seeing signs that the ridge is stronger/weaker? Model consistancy with a track? I gotta ask, i'm in Florida.

[Cyclone1]

When is a realistic timeframe when we can expect a invest? Also, the strength of the ridge will determine, along with the other factors, where this will go. When can we start seeing signs that the ridge is stronger/weaker? Model consistancy with a track? I gotta ask, i'm in Florida.

Pretty much anytime now, we should have 90L. Convection is persisting, keep an eye on the NRL.

[HurryKane]

Awwww i want the storm to come to me.
I really don't care if its another katrina like storm cause those storms bore me.

I only come here once in a blue moon now, and posts like this are the reason. Mods get bent out of shape about "chatty" posts, and yet allow ones like this to go unchecked. Bah. And I'm not the only one--I know of at least 4-5 people I see on a daily basis who also stopped reading S2K after Katrina because of posts like these.

And happy birthday, Luis, I always did enjoy your posts

Good to see you back around, I always enjoyed your posts and wondered where you went. I understand your frustration but there are ALWAYS going to those few who rub you the wrong way. And hey, we have an ignore feature now. Hope to see you around more frequently.

Aw, thanks O-Town. I didn't know about the ignore feature, will have to try that one out!

[jdray]

And yeah, about forecasting the forecast model, that was a blockbuster ending.

But I want a storm now.

Oh well...

In all seriousness though, if the Euro and GFS prognostications at H5 are even closely correct at 240 hr, this will not ride up the east coast. BUT, they won't be closely correct. And the chances of a storm even developing are still not that good attm.

Well, there was that ONE time in Southern Cali when...

Yes, that ridge is a monster, and unlikely at that. Few storms form near the CVs and make it to the coast, with Georges as evidence that a few buck the trend.

Dora in 1964 was a better example.
She hit that ridge and rode it straight west.

[SouthFloridawx]

This thread is for the scenarios from CMC,NOGAPS,UKMET and EURO models.GFS has its thread so post the runs from the mentioned models here.Can you imagine if the forum has threads for every run from all the models?

Actually I created this thread to compare all of the models. I am just simply posting all of the output from the models when the major 00 and 12Z runs come out.

[wzrgirl1]

I don't know about anyone else but I feel that 3 threads on the same topic is confusing.....is there anyway we can condense into 2. Anyone else agree?


edit: actually there are 4 threads

[punkyg]

I don't know about anyone else but I feel that 3 threads on the same topic is confusing.....is there anyway we can condense into 2. Anyone else agree?

agree.

[storms in NC]

With this so so far out we don't know if there will be a ridge that far south or not. But should have a good idia in 5-6 days out. So it could go any where at this point from the Islands to the east coast or any where in the Gulf.

[SouthFloridawx]

I don't know about anyone else but I feel that 3 threads on the same topic is confusing.....is there anyway we can condense into 2. Anyone else agree?

agree.

We only have one other thread on model runs... This one is dedicated to the results of all of them. The other thread is for the GFS.

[Aric Dunn]

yeah seriously .. here while were at it lets have a individual threads for the cmc , ukmet, nogaps, euro, and all the other ones that will help !

[SouthFloridawx]

yeah seriously .. here while were at it lets have a individual threads for the cmc , ukmet, nogaps, euro, and all the other ones that will help !

No need for sarcasm there Aric...

I sent a message to luis asking him if he could merge both of the threads together, to make it a little easier. But personally after all the chatter, since that one thread... I thought we were just supposed to make threads if we wanted to. There is always someone whos not happy right?

[Sanibel]

If the initial center is up in that main blob it is around 12N (which is high up). Granted the Atlantic ridge is really pressing south and should keep it west - but, like I was saying before, that is high in latitude for what GFS is predicting.