Ed Mahmoud wrote:Joe Bastardi just posted on his pay per view site and wonders if GFS hasn't been tweaked to correct previous right bias. He suspects 90L/Dean is further North than GFS, and probably recurves near Longitude of Florida. He says storm likely intense at closest approach/landfall to US, and while he hasn't picked a landfall location, suggested the hundred year solution that hits North Florida or Georgia from the SSE.
Well the GFS right-hand bias correction is interesting. I haven't heard about that one - perhaps some PRO METs might want to chime in on that one. I did agree with KFDM MET that this cyclone seemed to past by at least two troughs in the 12Z GFS run without the even slightest pull northward. Unusual for a strong cyclone to me.