2015 Global model runs discussion

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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: Re:

#1741 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 5:29 am

Alyono wrote:
Hammy wrote:Euro jumping on GFS phantom storm bandwagon? Didn't this happen a few times in September too?


in this case, I expect a NONTROPICAL low to form in the Gulf

Looks like a EPAC crossover to me.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... =0&ypos=46
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#1742 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 14, 2015 7:05 am

Both GFS and Euro suggesting a crossover in the long range
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Re:

#1743 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 7:11 am

gatorcane wrote:Both GFS and Euro suggesting a crossover in the long range
Those hardly ever occur, right?
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1744 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 7:40 am

oh it occurs but hard to trust something 240 hours, these models keep prolonging it so who knows. ...
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1745 Postby ROCK » Wed Oct 14, 2015 7:43 am

EURO finally sniffs what the CMC and NAVGEM have been sniffing. Kudos to those 2 inferior models.... :lol:
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1746 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Oct 14, 2015 7:57 am

Oh, cmon globals, not another week of model watching :lol: . Whatever it is I like that both GFS and EURO show us getting some rain, we are in a worsening drought situation. Hardly any rain for over a month now.
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#1747 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 14, 2015 9:41 am

The UKMET has something in the BOC by hour 132:

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#1748 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:03 am

06Z GFS shows quite a robust system in the BOC too, but slower than the UKMET and similar to the ECMWF:

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Re:

#1749 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:10 am

gatorcane wrote:06Z GFS shows quite a robust system in the BOC too, but slower than the UKMET and similar to the ECMWF:

Image


GFS west into Tx...Euro Due east at end of run. Sold!
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1750 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:17 am

If something develops it won't be Texas no way the high will be that strong lol
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#1751 Postby gatorcane » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:25 am

Wasn't Hanna last year in late October an EPAC to BOC crossover?

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#1752 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:31 am

Guess we can't write this season off just yet. :roll:
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1753 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:31 am

Most Likely LA to Eastern GOM with the fronts coming down.
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Re:

#1754 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:31 am

TheStormExpert wrote:Guess we can't write this season off just yet. :roll:
Was hoping we could.
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stormlover2013

Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1755 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:36 am

even though I watched something that said euro and GFS has it going to Texas and I just laughed because its unheard of a storm this late hitting Texas right???
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TheStormExpert

Re: Re:

#1756 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:38 am

Weatherwatcher98 wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Guess we can't write this season off just yet. :roll:
Was hoping we could.

Same here, but the models just want to keep messing with our heads! :lol:
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Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1757 Postby Weatherwatcher98 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:39 am

stormlover2013 wrote:even though I watched something that said euro and GFS has it going to Texas and I just laughed because its unheard of a storm this late hitting Texas right???
Somewhat Unlikely but Possible, it will depend on if a front is in play.
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stormlover2013

Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1758 Postby stormlover2013 » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:41 am

hey this will give me something to do during work lol but it's still long range and I don't trust anything past 6 days out but we shall see
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TheStormExpert

Re: 2015 Global model runs discussion

#1759 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:44 am

stormlover2013 wrote:hey this will give me something to do during work lol but it's still long range and I don't trust anything past 6 days out but we shall see

Personally with the way the models have behaved all season I wouldn't trust anything past 3-4 days!
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#1760 Postby psyclone » Wed Oct 14, 2015 10:46 am

the constant model bullishness is precisely why we have the modelstorm thread prohibition...they fake us out frequently.
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