Invest 91L Recon Thread

[Derek Ortt]

seems clear that there is no center associated with this feature

That said, TS conditions will affect eastern NC

[Regit]

Here's the circ on radar . . . not sure if they're finding it in the plane.

Is that an EYE in there?

Just a break in the showers

[mtm4319]

Another STDS came out that said this has no LLC, so I'm gonna quit making the maps for now, but I'll keep posting the observations for a little while longer.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Lets see if it can move more eastward in stay off shore.

[mtm4319]

680
SXXX50 KNHC 271833
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 30 KNHC
1823. 3338N 07639W 00303 0037 200 031 222 222 031 00342 0000000000
1824 3338N 07637W 00303 0037 201 031 222 222 032 00343 0000000000
1824. 3339N 07635W 00304 0038 202 033 222 222 033 00344 0000000000
1825 3339N 07633W 00303 0038 201 033 224 224 034 00343 0000000000
1825. 3340N 07631W 00304 0038 200 034 222 222 034 00344 0000000000
1826 3340N 07629W 00304 0038 198 035 222 222 036 00344 0000000000
1826. 3341N 07628W 00303 0038 198 035 220 220 035 00343 0000000000
1827 3343N 07628W 00305 0038 193 032 222 222 034 00344 0000000000
1827. 3344N 07629W 00302 0037 191 032 222 222 033 00341 0000000000
1828 3345N 07630W 00301 0038 191 031 222 222 032 00341 0000000000
1828. 3347N 07632W 00275 0037 190 030 224 224 031 00314 0000000000
1829 3348N 07633W 00274 0035 197 026 226 226 027 00311 0000000000
1829. 3349N 07634W 00299 0034 196 027 226 220 029 00336 0000000000
1830 3350N 07635W 00306 0035 195 030 226 212 031 00343 0000000000
1830. 3352N 07636W 00304 0034 193 030 226 216 031 00340 0000000000
1831 3353N 07638W 00306 0035 191 031 224 216 031 00343 0000000000
1831. 3355N 07639W 00304 0034 191 031 226 210 031 00340 0000000000
1832 3356N 07640W 00305 0034 192 031 224 214 032 00342 0000000000
1832. 3357N 07641W 00305 0033 194 033 224 208 034 00341 0000000000
1833 3359N 07642W 00303 0034 200 026 216 216 030 00339 0000000000

[WindRunner]

Here's the circ on radar . . . not sure if they're finding it in the plane.

Is that an EYE in there?

I don't know about eye, but it's definately the circulation center, as the hole has been present for a couple of hours. Unfortunately, that's broken down the last few scans, and now the center is only about 15nmi offshore, and should be inland within the hour.

[clfenwi]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (BBL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 13
Time: 1825Z
Latitude: 33.7°N
Longitude: 76.5°W
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: SSW (200°) @ 41 mph
Temperature: 72°F
Dewpoint: 72°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
Sea level pressure: 1016 mb
Surface Wind: S (180°) @ 23 mph
Remarks: None

[mtm4319]

484
SXXX50 KNHC 271844
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 31 KNHC
1833. 3400N 07644W 00306 0031 199 028 216 216 029 00340 0000000000
1834 3401N 07645W 00305 0031 202 030 220 206 030 00338 0000000000
1834. 3403N 07646W 00305 0031 203 031 216 206 031 00338 0000000000
1835 3404N 07647W 00303 0031 203 031 214 214 031 00336 0000000000
1835. 3405N 07648W 00307 0029 204 032 210 210 033 00338 0000000000
1836 3407N 07650W 00304 0028 202 032 210 210 033 00333 0000000000
1836. 3408N 07651W 00306 0028 204 032 210 210 033 00336 0000000000
1837 3409N 07652W 00265 0029 207 032 214 214 033 00296 0000000000
1837. 3411N 07653W 00180 0022 208 028 212 212 029 00204 0000000000
1838 3412N 07654W 00152 0016 213 027 214 214 028 00170 0000000000
1838. 3413N 07656W 00154 0017 217 025 214 214 025 00173 0000000000
1839 3414N 07657W 00149 0017 220 025 204 204 027 00168 0000000000
1839. 3416N 07658W 00155 0016 214 025 194 194 027 00173 0000000000
1840 3417N 07659W 00151 0016 217 018 198 198 019 00169 0000000000
1840. 3418N 07700W 00153 0014 222 016 196 196 017 00169 0000000000
1841 3419N 07702W 00155 0014 223 009 196 196 011 00171 0000000000
1841. 3420N 07703W 00151 0013 228 006 196 196 008 00166 0000000000
1842 3421N 07705W 00153 0013 197 003 206 206 003 00169 0000000000
1842. 3422N 07706W 00151 0014 146 002 214 214 002 00167 0000000000
1843 3423N 07708W 00153 0014 138 004 218 218 005 00169 0000000000

[clfenwi]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (BBL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF305
Observation Number: 14
Time: 1839Z
Latitude: 34.3°N
Longitude: 77.0°W
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 500 feet
Flight level wind: SW (220°) @ 21 mph
Temperature: 68°F
Dewpoint: 68°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
Sea level pressure: 1014 mb
Surface Wind: VRB @ 6 mph
Remarks: None

[WindRunner]

I think we're going to have to call this TD1.5, because this isn't going to be a TD by the NHC - the center is only 10 nautical miles offshore now.

[mtm4319]

362
SXXX50 KNHC 271853
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 32 KNHC
1843. 3424N 07709W 00153 0016 121 006 216 216 006 00170 0000000000
1844 3424N 07711W 00150 0016 123 004 216 216 005 00169 0000000000
1844. 3425N 07712W 00152 0015 108 004 216 216 004 00170 0000000000
1845 3426N 07714W 00154 0015 110 005 220 220 006 00170 0000000000
1845. 3427N 07715W 00152 0013 094 007 220 220 007 00167 0000000000
1846 3428N 07717W 00349 0008 136 007 214 214 007 00358 0000000000
1846. 3429N 07719W 00716 0025 174 005 192 192 007 00741 0000000000
1847 3429N 07721W 01108 0042 210 004 172 172 005 01150 0000000000
1847. 3429N 07722W 01462 0064 235 006 154 154 006 01525 0000000000
1848 3429N 07725W 01539 0080 228 004 146 146 004 01618 0000000000
1848. 3429N 07727W 01525 0082 209 006 146 146 008 01606 0000000000
1849 3430N 07729W 01519 0082 203 009 146 146 009 01601 0000000000
1849. 3430N 07731W 01526 0082 173 005 146 146 007 01608 0000000000
1850 3431N 07734W 01524 0084 152 004 146 146 004 01606 0000000000
1850. 3431N 07736W 01525 0086 179 004 148 148 004 01609 0000000000
1851 3431N 07738W 01525 0085 190 002 150 150 003 01609 0000000000
1851. 3430N 07740W 01522 0084 259 003 152 152 003 01606 0000000000
1852 3428N 07742W 01684 0083 273 004 144 144 004 01766 0000000000
1852. 3427N 07743W 02042 0100 274 009 128 128 010 02141 0000000000
1853 3426N 07745W 02381 0117 271 007 114 110 008 02499 0000000000

[Thunder44]

274? West wind?

[mtm4319]

WindRunner (or someone else), would you mind taking over the posting of these sets of observations?

[WindRunner]

274? West wind?

Yeah, but we've got plenty of that. We need a north wind to seal the deal.

[WindRunner]

WindRunner (or someone else), would you mind taking over the posting of these sets of observations?

Sure, I'll take care of it.

[Thunder44]

274? West wind?

Yeah, but we've got plenty of that. We need a north wind to seal the deal.

I thought we had just SW winds. I haven't been online all the time.

[WindRunner]

274? West wind?

Yeah, but we've got plenty of that. We need a north wind to seal the deal.

I thought we had just SW winds. I haven't been online all the time.

We've had 86 and 291 (I think) are the closest we've had. I'm not positive on those exact numbers, but I do remember one set which had a due west and due east number right next to each other.

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 271903
AF305 01BBA INVEST HDOB 33 KNHC
1853. 3425N 07747W 02697 0136 231 005 094 088 007 02834 0000000000
1854 3424N 07748W 02977 0153 240 007 072 072 008 03131 0000000000
1854. 3423N 07750W 03148 0160 263 012 064 064 014 03310 0000000000
1855 3422N 07752W 03505 0175 260 013 042 042 014 03682 0000000000
1855. 3421N 07753W 03794 0194 270 014 026 026 015 03990 0000000000
1856 3419N 07755W 04037 0207 268 015 010 010 016 04247 0000000000
1856. 3418N 07757W 04306 0214 268 015 005 005 015 04528 0000000000
1857 3417N 07758W 04542 0229 268 012 015 015 012 04780 0000000000
1857. 3416N 07800W 04753 0242 268 013 029 029 013 05004 0000000000
1858 3415N 07802W 04987 0253 269 013 039 039 014 05250 0000000000
1858. 3414N 07803W 05200 0269 266 013 051 051 013 05480 0000000000
1859 3413N 07805W 05378 0282 268 013 061 061 013 05670 0000000000
1859. 3412N 07807W 05549 0293 270 013 071 071 015 05854 0000000000
1900 3411N 07808W 05689 0302 281 011 077 083 013 06003 0000000000
1900. 3410N 07810W 05868 0312 285 018 083 091 018 06193 0000000000
1901 3409N 07812W 06036 0324 270 017 095 107 018 06372 0000000000
1901. 3408N 07813W 06156 0337 262 012 101 119 013 06506 0000000000
1902 3407N 07815W 06300 0345 256 013 107 147 014 06659 0000000000
1902. 3406N 07817W 06457 0351 246 016 115 201 018 06827 0000000000
1903 3405N 07818W 06594 0360 245 017 123 201 017 06973 0000000000

[Thunder44]

005 wind is almost due north.

[WindRunner]

005 wind is almost due north.

That's one of the wind speeds.

1853. 3425N 07747W 02697 0136 231 005 094 088 007 02834 0000000000

That is the wind direction.