Atlantic INVEST 93L: W Africa

[Aric Dunn]

and here is the NRL LOOP it defiantly has a good well defined LLC in there but pretty void of any deep convection

just use the slider for the last 5 images orso.. the rest are not over it

NRL loop


then here is this loop.. pretty good every hour this morning anyway.. shows nice circ... but again no convection

just omit the first one or two images http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m8vis.html

[drezee]

Link to Graphics:

http://hurricane.methaz.org/tracking/

[JonathanBelles]

Dreeze: thats a bad link. Who puts those out?

[Windtalker1]

Looks to me like it has resumed a more westerly track the last couple frames and thunderstorms still around the center.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Aric Dunn]

Dreeze: thats a bad link. Who puts those out?

whats a bad link?

[boca]

Its a good link for me.

[Aric Dunn]

better loop http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m8vis.html

[Aric Dunn]

[Aric Dunn]

there is nice curvature.. its just to bad there is no convection

[JonathanBelles]

The link works now, it didnt before, I was getting an error message.

[Dynamic]

Here is a good history loop for the Invest 93L, the images are from 6/08/07 until today 6/10/07. Looks that well defined circulation!

[jaxfladude]

[align=center]:fishing:


First possible Fish Storm of 2007!!![/align]

[alan1961]

This invest will be just another statistic in june..this system would be better turning around and running back from where it came from...Africa!, it has no hope of getting any further than a TD

[Opal storm]

This invest will be just another statistic in june..this system would be better turning around and running back from where it came from...Africa!, it has no hope of getting any further than a TD

I agree, but what scares me is that it's only June we're having some pretty impressive waves come off. This could be a pretty decent Cape Verde season if this is any sign of what's to come.

[windstorm99]

NHC 2:05PM Discussion on 93L....

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED S OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ALONG
23W/24W S OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 25 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS
EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 9N23.5W. UNFAVORABLE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...COOLER WATER TEMPERATURES...AFRICAN
DUST...AND A FAST MOVEMENT WILL HAMPER FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM IS BASICALLY OVER TWO AREAS. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 25W-27W...AND FROM 5N-7N
BETWEEN 22W-26W.

[Cyclenall]

I'm going to give this a 35% chance of becoming the next tropical cyclone of the season. If it still looks like this tomorrow morning, then 65%.

It looked worse in the morning so 35% was quite on. However, the chances are more like 5% now.

[alan1961]

Yes i agree with you opal, if this is a sign of things to come its looking like a very busy season, the 2005 season fired up straight away in june and look what happened too that one!..my guess is we'll be getting a few more of these indications off of Africa this month and gradually they will start to make inroads across the atlantic before the big boomers come in maybe july and definately August!

[windstorm99]

We'll it maybe a sign if an above average season this year but if steering currents are your friend the united states may get lucky again.Once we get into the mid july pieces of the puzzle will begin to fall into place as far as steering currents this year.If the current trend continues we maybe looking a stituation similar to 2006 but things can change so were just going to have to wait and see how things develope in the next 4-5 weeks.

www.Adrian's Weather.com

[alan1961]

yes i agree there too, the all important steering currents as well as the other ingredients, its not as if systems can't form because they do its just that when they start to look ominous they get attacked by the unfavourables so this early season indication is all that it is at the moment..the signs are there but the conditions are to volatile to support anything right now.

[hurricanefloyd5]

better loop http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m8vis.html

it looks like it's flaring up again and it's looking alittle better right now

just a wee bit