Invest 90L:East Atlantic,Discussions,Analysis and Sat Pics

[Ed Mahmoud]

Watching GOES imagery, just as sun set on visible imagery, new burst cold top convection on North side of 90L

[canegrl04]

I'm predicting TD 4 5pm Monday

[RL3AO]

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/listImages.pl?m=prod,a=0,sa=9,pr=MPEF,f=1,c=MPE,se=4,n=12,d=1,v=200,pp=0,t=200708122045#controls

Press play. You can see convection is starting to burst.

[wzrgirl1]

sure is....it's going to go through convective bursts like that though

[Blown Away]

Watching GOES imagery, just as sun set on visible imagery, new burst cold top convection on North side of 90L

That's what I'm seeing. I think people are looking at the E Atlantic satellite shot which is 3+ hours old. It's building convection and the LLC is near 12N /27W.

[hurricanefloyd5]

looks to me that it's firnig over the center now as we speak!!!!!dose anyone have any buoy or ship reports from this area yet???????

[Nimbus]

The shear is blowing all that moisture out ahead of the LLC. That may just pave the way for future development.

[canegrl04]

'Jeff Masters predicting hurricane Dean,possibly major'

Doesn't surprise me.This is quite a fighter.Once it gets into even more fav. enviro,its going to explode

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN AUG 12 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC NEAR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AT IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AT
ABOUT 10 MPH.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED
OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY
WINDS HAVE KEPT THE SYSTEM FROM BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD
RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS THE LOW MOVES
WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN

[Brent]

Very close to a TD according to the NHC. One convective burst tonight could do it.

[Cyclone1]

10 bucks for 11pm!

[RL3AO]

It sounds like a burst over or near the center gives us TD 4.

[RL3AO]

We are now Level Red

[stormchazer]

Yes, with the hyper years we had in 04 and 05, then the slow year last year, people are getting too high and too low over each Sat. shot. This system is just getting itself together and because it is developing slowly, she is more likely to be trouble down the road.

[hurricanefloyd5]

I say TD#4 Tonight and maybe Dean tomorrow morning/afternoon!!!!!!!!!

[El Nino]

Chad, other poll for 11pm ?
I think I'll vote YES this time

[Brent]

We are now Level Red

CODE RED! CODE RED!

I'm also thinking 11pm.

[RL3AO]

I say yes for 11pm. Convection is now redeveloping.

[stormchazer]

Yep! the board is going to erupt again, but I will say 5am tomorrow just to be different.

[Swimdude]

I say TD#4 Tonight and maybe Dean tomorrow morning/afternoon!!!!!!!!!

I agree, but with seven less exclamation points and an extreme decrease in enthusiasm.