TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[sponger]

Agreed Ivanhater. For any one to call anywhere in the clear is criminal, imho

[deltadog03]

i agree with mike, that area looks pretty good...maybe even a tad south of there as well....i really don't understand why the powers at be are having a hard time with this...my thinking is that the models will shift west when the wake up to understand that the storm will NOT become larger than the ridge

[CronkPSU]

deleted due to itchy trigger finger

[Normandy]

We should delete all wobble posts until a clear eye is visible.

[sponger]

I cant fault you cronk, this ones wobbling all over!

[CronkPSU]

We should delete all wobble posts until a clear eye is visible.

you're right...good point

[cycloneye]

We should delete all wobble posts until a clear eye is visible.

Good idea Normandy.Let's try to not post those famous movement posts step by step until we see a clear center.

[elysium]

The purported high pressure ridge was so incredibly weak that it wasn't even able to lift the weak trough. That Irene is now recurving should come as little surprise.

The trough now has Irene in its firm clasp, and she will soon begin heading due north and then northeast out to sea. Actually, this may allow ridging to build in a little more resolutely in 10 to 12 days from now which will help keep the new system now just emerging off Africa from recurving in Irene's wake. Had Irene not begun to recurve now, she would have weakened the ridge and possibly allowed recurvurature of this next system coming along. Today's recurvature of Irene eliminates that possibility as she will quickly now be swept out to sea.

What this means is that the window of opportunity has been opened a little further for what promises to be Jose. This doesn't mean that should the next system develop, Jose will be able to lollygag as he traverses the Atlantic, it just means that he won't necessarily now have to race forward at near 20 mph to make the ridge in time. There is also now a possibility of the ridge becoming entrenched longer than the day 10 through 13 time frame. Since Jose looks to be heading north of the islands, what is happening now with the recurvature of Irene will have a direct impact down the road on Jose.

By the way; Jose is a classic CV type system. Jose has enormous potential. He's entering onto the scene at the right time and in the right location. Everything looks very conducive for the development of this system into Jose, and for Jose's future development. Tracking will be a little tricky, but the recurvature of Irene makes less problematic.

Jose will make you totally forget about Irene. Here comes Jose.

[shaggy]

who is jose last i looked he DOESN'T exist so jose must be a ghost storm and thats why it heading ona further south track towards Florida right? Irene is the ONLY game in play at the moment and lets wait to see what happens with her first before we become concerned about jose

[Ivanhater]

The purported high pressure ridge was so incredibly weak that it wasn't even able to lift the weak trough. That Irene is now recurving should come as little surprise.

The trough now has Irene in its firm clasp, and she will soon begin heading due north and then northeast out to sea. Actually, this may allow ridging to build in a little more resolutely in 10 to 12 days from now which will help keep the new system now just emerging off Africa from recurving in Irene's wake. Had Irene not begun to recurve now, she would have weakened the ridge and possibly allowed recurvurature of this next system coming along. Today's recurvature of Irene eliminates that possibility as she will quickly now be swept out to sea.

What this means is that the window of opportunity has been opened a little further for what promises to be Jose. This doesn't mean that should the next system develop, Jose will be able to lollygag as he traverses the Atlantic, it just means that he won't necessarily now have to race forward at near 20 mph to make the ridge in time. There is also now a possibility of the ridge becoming entrenched longer than the day 10 through 13 time frame. Since Jose looks to be heading north of the islands, what is happening now with the recurvature of Irene will have a direct impact down the road on Jose.

By the way; Jose is a classic CV type system. Jose has enormous potential. He's entering onto the scene at the right time and in the right location. Everything looks very conducive for the development of this system into Jose, and for Jose's future development. Tracking will be a little tricky, but the recurvature of Irene makes less problematic.

Jose will make you totally forget about Irene. Here comes Jose.

what in the hell??

[Andrew92]

The purported high pressure ridge was so incredibly weak that it wasn't even able to lift the weak trough. That Irene is now recurving should come as little surprise.

The trough now has Irene in its firm clasp, and she will soon begin heading due north and then northeast out to sea. Actually, this may allow ridging to build in a little more resolutely in 10 to 12 days from now which will help keep the new system now just emerging off Africa from recurving in Irene's wake. Had Irene not begun to recurve now, she would have weakened the ridge and possibly allowed recurvurature of this next system coming along. Today's recurvature of Irene eliminates that possibility as she will quickly now be swept out to sea.

What this means is that the window of opportunity has been opened a little further for what promises to be Jose. This doesn't mean that should the next system develop, Jose will be able to lollygag as he traverses the Atlantic, it just means that he won't necessarily now have to race forward at near 20 mph to make the ridge in time. There is also now a possibility of the ridge becoming entrenched longer than the day 10 through 13 time frame. Since Jose looks to be heading north of the islands, what is happening now with the recurvature of Irene will have a direct impact down the road on Jose.

By the way; Jose is a classic CV type system. Jose has enormous potential. He's entering onto the scene at the right time and in the right location. Everything looks very conducive for the development of this system into Jose, and for Jose's future development. Tracking will be a little tricky, but the recurvature of Irene makes less problematic.

Jose will make you totally forget about Irene. Here comes Jose.

I don't see Jose. Does anyone else? Oh, that's right that's because we don't have a storm yet named Jose.

You're naming a tropical wave quite prematurely. Just because it "promises" to be Jose doesn't mean it still can't be a big fat nothing.

Anyway, back to Irene, which I still think is heading out to sea.

-Andrew92

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The system at 12 north/46 is becoming better organized. Also theres another off to the south of the Cape verdes. Both need to develop to keep this year ahead of 1995.

[huricanwatcher]

will this thread break the 2000 mark tonight.... come-on IRENE... gives us all something to look at.....

[deltadog03]

here is a simple question to everyone who wants to answer.....why do you think Irene is going out to sea?? and why do you think Irene will make landfall in the US?

[yoda]

The system at 12 north/46 is becoming better organized. Also theres another off to the south of the Cape verdes. Both need to develop to keep this year ahead of 1995.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Whats that for?

[Scorpion]

I agree. New waves looking good. Also much more favorable environment.

[yoda]

Whats that for?

NHC mentions no such waves, but you say that the waves are getting better organized as if they will be a TD soon...

[storm4u]

here is a simple question to everyone who wants to answer.....why do you think Irene is going out to sea?? and why do you think Irene will make landfall in the US?

very good question hope to see some answers!!!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yes they do appear to becoming better organized. In need to be watched for farther development. The nhc doe's not talk about a area intill it is a good amount organized out there. So yes I think theres a chance at development.