Well Defined Wave off African Coast

[wx247]

What is the time frame that we are looking at before this arrives into the Atlantic?

[cycloneye]

What is the time frame that we are looking at before this arrives into the Atlantic?

Two days and it will emerge completly as its not moving very fast and when it does that,an invest will be tagged,same as when the disturbance that gave birth to Bertha.

[cycloneye]

Here is the link for those who dont have dundee images of full disk pics like the one below.

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html

Here is the most recent pic at 12:00 UTC of Africa and look how well organized the system is.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Holy Crap!
That looks amazing! Way more impressive than 94L by a mile. I hope it can maintain that structure once it hits the water.

[Meso]

Large visible image of wave Bertha can be seen to the NE too

[O Town]

Awesome image Meso
Bertha looks gorgeous, and the new wave to emerge looks really strong I will be watching this one for the next week or so.

[HURAKAN]

Very nice wave. I hope it survives after reaching the ocean in a day or two.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Very nice wave. I hope it survives after reaching the ocean in a day or two.

Living in the hurricane capital of the Western Hemisphere, you may change your mind in about two weeks...

[americanrebel]

Amazing, that is the wave I was talking about, and now every model is jumping on it. I just got to laugh. LMAO

[cycloneye]

12z GFS at 138 hours Weak Low passes 40w



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_180l.gif At 180 hours the low continues moving west and passes 50w.



At 300 hours,fishyland it ends up off the Carolinas:

[HURAKAN]

Ed, my wish is for a fish! After, I'm a Florida Marlins fan!!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

The wave and the latest model runs are certainly impressive. However, based on what happened with 94L, I am not going to get too excited about this until after it develops into a TD.

[cycloneye]

12z CMC continues to show it as a tropical storm.



Below is the 12z UKMET that continues to be in the parade of models with this.I notice that they have the track very far north than what sattelite suggests.

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 16.3N 17.8W



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

00UTC 22.07.2008 16.3N 17.8W WEAK

12UTC 22.07.2008 16.2N 21.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 23.07.2008 15.9N 24.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 23.07.2008 15.6N 27.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 24.07.2008 15.7N 30.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 24.07.2008 15.5N 34.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 25.07.2008 15.7N 38.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 25.07.2008 16.7N 42.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

[cycloneye]

Wow,look at the 18:00 UTC pic.Incredible organization now.It looks much better than when the disturbance that gave birth to Bertha was in the same area.



To view this pic register for free here.

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/registerql.html

[canegrl04]

If this bares out, here comes hurricane Eduoard Luckily most likely a fish,but holy Cow this month is active

[cycloneye]

Another pic.

[RL3AO]

Probably an invest as soon as it hits the water.

[blp]

12Z EURO continues its Fish trend. This time it seems to be recurving much futher east.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8071912!!/

12 GFS also wants a recurve this but much further west, right off NC.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_312l.gif

The recurve scenarios are almost 200+ hrs out so way too early to know for sure. The image is impressive, it seems to have feeder bands to the south.

[cycloneye]

Lets see when it puts its feet in the water how it evolves.

[Aric Dunn]

its actually looks like a MCV!!! when that hits the water ( if it hold together) we should see something ..

that would be crazy if it develops and 94l develops .. that would make 4 names systems in july, I dont think that has happened has it..