Possible Development in C Atlantic Wave (Is invest 92L)

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cycloneye
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#21 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 06, 2008 1:12 pm

From the 2 PM Discussion:

...THE ITCZ...
12N16W 11N20W 13N28W 9N45W 10N61W. CLOUDS FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN
18W AND 24W ARE SWIRLING AROUND WHAT PROBABLY WILL BE THE NEXT
ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE FOR THE FUTURE. SCATTERED STRONG
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 21W AND 23W.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... scussions/

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#22 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 06, 2008 1:26 pm

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#23 Postby caribepr » Wed Aug 06, 2008 2:29 pm

This one has my attention for the moment...(it's better than thinking about how bloody hot it is here today, again).
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#24 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Aug 06, 2008 2:51 pm

Poof appears to have commenced.
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#25 Postby Frank2 » Wed Aug 06, 2008 2:54 pm

...some serious poofing going on...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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Scorpion

#26 Postby Scorpion » Wed Aug 06, 2008 3:22 pm

We'll see if it regains its convection later, although I'm not holding my breath.
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#27 Postby Sanibel » Wed Aug 06, 2008 4:01 pm

This wave has good form but so did the other two before it. Too much SAL and not a deep enough Low I guess.
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#28 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Aug 06, 2008 4:03 pm

First we have SAL, second it's DMIN, and third, convection should increase by tomorrow morning. Still, it doesn't mean that it will develop but it's not dead either.
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#29 Postby MGC » Wed Aug 06, 2008 4:17 pm

Hopefully the dry air will eat this one up too.....MGC
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#30 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 06, 2008 5:16 pm

New convection pops up.

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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#31 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 06, 2008 5:19 pm

Poor thing is gonna get clobbered by that dust.

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#32 Postby caribepr » Wed Aug 06, 2008 5:31 pm

We're getting clobbered by it, why shouldn't this system? Luis, can you see anything today? We're wrapped in dust here.
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Re:

#33 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 06, 2008 5:38 pm

caribepr wrote:We're getting clobbered by it, why shouldn't this system? Luis, can you see anything today? We're wrapped in dust here.


Yes,here was the same,even a new record high of 93 degrees.
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#34 Postby Rincon » Wed Aug 06, 2008 5:49 pm

I kept thinking i needed to put my contacts in then i looked at the SAL map! :)

Rincon
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#35 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 06, 2008 6:26 pm

It looks like some easterly shear is impacting the system.

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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#36 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Aug 06, 2008 6:36 pm

cycloneye wrote:It looks like some easterly shear is impacting the system.

Image

Yeah i noticed that on a couple of the shear maps, but that should go away around 40W or less
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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#37 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 06, 2008 7:02 pm

8 PM Discussion:

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N16W 11N25W 13N34W 9N45W 9N62W.
A LOW/MID CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS SEEN EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ NEAR
11N22W WITH A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION
WITHIN 100 NM SW QUADRANT. WILL WAIT FOR ADDITIONAL DATA BEFORE
PLACING A LOW ON THE SURFACE MAP.

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/tropical ... scussions/

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Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#38 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Aug 06, 2008 7:15 pm

The eastly shear should make sure this don't develop within the next 48 hours. Not saying it is impossible, but the eastern Atlantic is NOT favorable for development at the moment.
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Mecklenburg

Re: New Tropical Wave near Africa

#39 Postby Mecklenburg » Wed Aug 06, 2008 7:23 pm

poor thing is mistreated by the SAL
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Re: Re:

#40 Postby abajan » Wed Aug 06, 2008 7:27 pm

cycloneye wrote:
caribepr wrote:We're getting clobbered by it, why shouldn't this system? Luis, can you see anything today? We're wrapped in dust here.


Yes,here was the same,even a new record high of 93 degrees.
Very dusty here too. But I like the looks of this new system to emerge from Africa. Let's see if it still looks that good in 24 hours or so.
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