Where and when will the first landfall occur in the U.S.?

[jinftl]

In October (possibly late October), between Key West and Tampa (on the west or southwest coast of florida/FL keys)....i.e., a Wilma-like track.

I believe that north of Corpus Christi and west of New Orleans, the season is just about done.

[DanKellFla]

This is like the game 'Clue.' I will give it a shot.
From my amatureish observations, the strong tendency for recurve this year will weaken just enough for a hurricane to impact the North East corridor. New York vicinity.
In other words: Matthew, In New York, as a non-major.

[CrazyC83]

Around October 22, eastern North Carolina from a Hazel/1878-like storm.

[Stormcenter]

Anything that late in the season would be a FL. event. IMO



quote="Vortex"]Late September/October...New Orleans-Florida....[/quote]

[Migle]

Anything that late in the season would be a FL. event. IMO



quote="Vortex"]Late September/October...New Orleans-Florida....

[/quote]

I agree. I am 99% sure were good for the rest of the season here in New Orleans. Anything that gets into the Gulf around October should go the way Wilma did.

[Florida1118]

Im going to go with somewhere not in Florida based on the fact I dont want it here.

[South Texas Storms]

so most of you guys are agreeing that the west gom is pretty much done this season, which is reasonable. i think anywhere from new orleans to new york has the best chance.