Nothern GOM for new storm formation? (Is invest 90L)

[Hurricaneman]

This has good outflow on the south and east side of it, I still have to wonder what the NHC will do in terms of naming it, will it be Isaac or Nadine

[frederic79]

What did they do with Ivan in terms of naming? If I recall, it made it's 2nd CONUS landfall as a TS.

[Anthysteg00]

Can any veterans here float any theories on potential landfalls?

[CrazyC83]

CONFIRMED by NHC: this is a new system. (Per FB response to me)

Our view is that while this disturbance has some association with Isaac, the primary remnant of Isaac was a separate decaying circulation to the north of this one. Therefore, should this disturbance develop into a tropical cyclone it would get a new name.

[cycloneye]

Case closed.

[Javlin]

Looks to be hitting the GOM soon....

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/#

[northjaxpro]

Well, NHC ended the debate rather quickly this evening in terms of the potential naming of this system. I am glad they rectified that. The disturbance looks rather good this evening. Good outflow on the east and sothern side of the system. The disturbance should completely emerge into the NE GOm by sunrise tomorrow morning. Interesting next few days with this system as there is a decent chance it will spin up and develop.

[Dean4Storms]

This has some potential at making a run at TS status and backed up by ECMWF closing it off. Interesting here all day, steady rain and strong low level cloud flow coming in off the Gulf.

[Dean4Storms]

I've got winds shifting today from the west earlier today to now mostly due South. Can really make out the broad circulation now on radar......


http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[tropicwatch]

I have been away most of the evening but during the day I have been watching the radar and noticed a definite low pressure area in the vicinity of Panama City this afternoon. I am surprised that it has already been give a percentage. Could be interesting but I don't think it will be much more than a Debby situation but even that could be significant due to the rain the SE has already received over the past two months.

[northjaxpro]

Looks like the broad circulation is right on the coast near Pensacola, which shows up very well on NWS Mobile radar just before 5 a.m. EDT. This will sink southward into the Gulf of Mexico and I look for the probabilities to increase in time of this developing into a tropical cyclone. This entity has a window of opportunity to develop over the next 72 hours or so into a TD or TS. It will meander around in the GOM in a weak steering flow until Friday. Models are depicting a potent shortwave will drop southeast down from Canada this weekend to pick up whatever becomes of this feature in the GOM.


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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast. They are just the opinion of this poster. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[bamajammer4eva]

90L




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[cycloneye]

Thread is locked as is now invest 90L.