Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#21 Postby EquusStorm » Sat Aug 08, 2020 11:11 am

VERY robust and well defined tiny little spin still out there. If conditions were just a little better this would absolutely be a tropical storm right now. I swear everything in the basin wants to develop...

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#22 Postby xironman » Sat Aug 08, 2020 11:58 am

I have watched and waited for it to dissipate, but it refuses to do so. It is like it is just going to keep spinning there until better conditions come along. Maybe the have

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#23 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Aug 08, 2020 12:27 pm

Awwww, what a cute little thing. :)
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#24 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 08, 2020 12:50 pm

itssssss back...

best it has ever looked.. lol..

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#25 Postby EquusStorm » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:06 pm

Uhh didn't expect that burst :eek: 12 hours of that and this would be TD11
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#26 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:16 pm

nhc not notice that no talk about it on 2pm outlook
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#27 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:21 pm

Just a little perspective... Quite Impressive really.. some convection building in pseudo bands ..

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#28 Postby EquusStorm » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:25 pm

Ironically shear is analyzed as being very weak at the moment and SAL while present isn't overwhelming. Would be a very 2020 thing to suddenly annoy forecasters hoping for a break before the swarm breaks loose in late month.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#29 Postby tailgater » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:43 pm

Yep, the last 2 evenings the little tiny circulation has fired off enough thunderstorm to keep it from dissipating, today much more robust nearer the center and 6 or 7 hours earlier. Models may have have missed this little booger.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#30 Postby JetFuel_SE » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:46 pm

tailgater wrote:Yep, the last 2 evenings the little tiny circulation has fired off enough thunderstorm to keep it from dissipating, today much more robust nearer the center and 6 or 7 hours earlier. Models may have have missed this little booger.


Models haven't been very good this year, we should expect a few more unexpected TC's this year.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#31 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:46 pm

tailgater wrote:Yep, the last 2 evenings the little tiny circulation has fired off enough thunderstorm to keep it from dissipating, today much more robust nearer the center and 6 or 7 hours earlier. Models may have have missed this little booger.


It definitely found some moisture inflow....

and we can just add this to the list of nearly every system this year the models missed lol
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#32 Postby plasticup » Sat Aug 08, 2020 1:58 pm

That looks like a little TS to me.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#33 Postby tailgater » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:14 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:itssssss back...

best it has ever looked.. lol..

https://i.ibb.co/Kjd64d5/111111.gif

What it looked like a little over a hour ago ^and now

Image
And since Gcane isn’t on right now, it’s in 3500 Cape so it might continue to fire up some hot towers
Last edited by tailgater on Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#34 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:15 pm

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#35 Postby tallywx » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:16 pm

What are the steering patterns for this?
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#36 Postby tailgater » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:24 pm

tallywx wrote:What are the steering patterns for this?


Almost nonexistent
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#37 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:26 pm

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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#38 Postby Nimbus » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:30 pm

There is a trough or short wave moving off the coast of Virginia that looked close to picking up the remnants.
If flow ahead of the front were to miss I think the ridging behind might pull it SW.
There was shear there earlier from the SW.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#39 Postby Kingarabian » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:36 pm

Honestly if convection persists for another 6-12 hours this would be classifiable.
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Re: Remnants of 94L east of the Bahamas

#40 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Aug 08, 2020 2:39 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Honestly if convection persists for another 6-12 hours this would be classifiable.

yeah.

persistent convection with an LLC is a tropical cyclone. so if this holds until late tonight, why not?
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