Low Pressure Area off the SE U.S. Coast

[ChrisH-UK]

I guess invest 96L will be up very soon.

ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (OFF OF THE SOUTHEAST US COAST)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 06/1800Z A. 07/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST B. AFXXX 0205A CYCLONE
C. 06/1500Z C. 07/0900Z
D. 29.5N 74.5W D. 30.5N 76.0W
E. 06/1730Z TO 06/2200Z E. 07/1100Z TO 07/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT.

Surprised they are scheduled to fly today. Pressures are still fairly high off the southeast coast. I might be missing something I guess

Well it's a ideal training exercise to do with the lack of tropical cyclones. The 2 areas on here is the upper right circulation that ECMWF has forming a storm as it move north along the north east coast and the area curling up that might do something as it moves over in to the gulf.

GEOS-16 GeoProxy 2hr Loop

[cycloneye]

REMARK: ALL TASKING ON TCPOD 25-066 WAS CANCELED BY NHC
AT 06/1400Z.

[OuterBanker]

Broad circulation around 30n 75w heading ever so slowly west. Cold front moving ever so slowly east with some areas of convection just east of Myrtle. Very moist environment in front, if broad circulation can entrain the convection and frontal moisture maybe something could develop.

Certainly not enough to warrant a recon flight yet.

[TallyTracker]

The circulation on the tropical wave approaching the Bahamas is very pronounced too and has more convection. I’m starting to see why some models have two storms coming out of this.

[cycloneye]

Down to 0% and 30%.

Off the Southeastern United States:
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the
coast of the southeastern United States continues to produce only
limited shower and thunderstorm activity. This system is forecast to
drift northward over the next day or two before turning
northeastward. Environmental conditions now only appear marginally
favorable for tropical development into early next week as the
system moves northeastward, remaining offshore of the eastern United
States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.