Here we go again !!! 11:30 TWO=Behind Ivan

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CourierPR
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#21 Postby CourierPR » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:54 am

My brother just moved to San Diego, CA. Maybe it's time to join him.
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wx247
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#22 Postby wx247 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:57 am

This is just nuts. The good news is that it doesn't look like it will develop imminently, so we can remain focused on Frances and Ivan right now.
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frankthetank
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#23 Postby frankthetank » Mon Sep 06, 2004 10:58 am

I'm not sure if they have any left, but KANSAS was giving away property for newcomers-(come on Floridians, you know you want to!)

http://www.nbc4i.com/news/2945960/detail.html

heres where its located--X marks the spot!!! bring your storm chasing gear!

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hurricanefreak1988
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#24 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:15 am

Looks like this wave will cut the E-Pac's lead to 1 :)

But it's still anybody's game. We're going to have to keep it going if we want to build a huge lead going into October and November, because usually the E-Pac makes their final charge during those months.
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#25 Postby Derecho » Mon Sep 06, 2004 11:18 am

cycloneye wrote:
Hurrilurker wrote:At 6°N? Isn't that a little far south for likely development? Not only that but it's not far behind Ivan and looks like it would be catching part of its wake.


The wave is more north if you look the pic it is the scattered convection around 10-11n.



No, the circ center is well south of 10N....as seen on Quikscat (though the last pass missed the center, the previous passes had an elongated low centered around 7N or so.)

As I've emphasized numerous times, there's nothing inherently "wrong" with something being south of 10N developing. It's just that most of the time disturbances come off Africa north of that.

Things naturally gain a bit of latitude when they develop, so it's likely it would be at 8N by the time it's a TD, 9N as a TS, etc...basically like Ivan.
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