TAFB -- This is where it may cross over....

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x-y-no
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#21 Postby x-y-no » Tue May 17, 2005 5:10 pm

Watching the 18z GFS roll out ... track is the same, much like the TPC track ... doesn't develop it much before landfall - looks like a weak TS - I think that may be wrong ... landfall at about 48 hours ... moves it across pretty slowly - only just emerging from the Honduras coast as a 1008mb low at 72 hours.

Jan

EDIT: Out to 90 hours now ... has it as a broad 1008mb low in the NW Caribbean - west of Jamaica. Think it may be too far NW with it, and might be missing some redevelopment (conditions look too favorable for it just to languish)
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dixiebreeze
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#22 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue May 17, 2005 6:33 pm

Up to 30 knots now, according to the Navy site.
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