00Z GFS - moisture headed to north central GOM in 3-4 days

[wxman57]

Well from what I have been reading it appears the models are hinting at a LA/MS/AL event. If that verifies the drought continues for Texas

For the record, the models said the same thing about the wave that became Bill in the southern BoC. We were going to get all that rain from the wave along the TX/LA coasts, but got nothing.

[HouTXmetro]

Well from what I have been reading it appears the models are hinting at a LA/MS/AL event. If that verifies the drought continues for Texas

Then there's always the possiblity it could be a Carolinas event!

Can't be upset, you all need the rain too. But we are really hurting in Texas.

[Brent]

TWC last hour(for what's that worth) said the rain from it would likely move up towards the Upper Texas and Western Louisiana coast.

[drezee]

buoy 42056 is showing the sharpening of the wave axis. LLC is imminent.

[HouTXmetro]

TWC last hour(for what's that worth) said the rain from it would likely move up towards the Upper Texas and Western Louisiana coast.

about 2 cents

[skysummit]

buoy 42056 is showing the sharpening of the wave axis. LLC is imminent.

Where is this buoy located?

[Agua]

Yeah, hope you folks in TX get some relief. We've gotten a little relief over the past week and could use more, but I know you guys are starving for moisture. Good look with it.

[corpusbreeze]

If the system develops it will be under more influence to move north. This would actually dry us out in Texas, which we don't need. If it stays undeveloped it would stay on a more west to wnw run and give the Texas coast a much needed rain event.

[MGC]

IMO the convection is being enhanced by the waves proximity to the ULL over Cuba. While development is possible I don't see anything rapid. I do hope the wave moves into the upper Texas coast. Have a happy 4th of July.....MGC

[Portastorm]

buoy 42056 is showing the sharpening of the wave axis. LLC is imminent.

This might be one of those dumb questions ... but when a wave axis sharpens is that the equivalent of saying that there is more of a cyclonic curvature to the system?

[corpusbreeze]

If the system develops it will be under more influence to move north. This would actually dry us out in Texas, which we don't need. If it stays undeveloped it would stay on a more west to wnw run and give the Texas coast a much needed rain event.

[drezee]

The wind fields are sharpening. This means a LLC is developing.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42056

[Opal storm]

Local met here in Pensacola said last night that this wave will be affecting our forecast this week and said we need to watch it for development.

[TampaFl]

buoy 42056 is showing the sharpening of the wave axis. LLC is imminent.

Where is this buoy located?

It is located very near 20.0N & 85.0W It is marked in red on the map.

Robert

http://www.oceanweather.com/data/Gulf-of-Mexico/marineloop.html

[skysummit]

Ahh.....ok, thanks.

[Wpwxguy]

Quikscat not really showing much, however a look at the visible loop you can see what appears to be clouds in the lower levels banding into the system on the left side. Don't know, just an observation

[southerngale]

If the system develops it will be under more influence to move north. This would actually dry us out in Texas, which we don't need. If it stays undeveloped it would stay on a more west to wnw run and give the Texas coast a much needed rain event.

That would be perfect. We don't need a hurricane to mess things up, just rain to help things around here.