The wave in the eastern caribbean....

BonesXL · #21 Postby **BonesXL** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:25 am

Cycloneye...I live in Miami...but I'm from Cayey

#22 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:26 am

BonesXL wrote:does anyone have any archival track of Gilbert?

Thanks

I wonder if JB is meaing "strengthwise" as in Gilbert of July?

AussieMark · #23 Postby **AussieMark** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:26 am

cycloneye wrote:
BonesXL wrote:Thanks....Cycloneye....Fellow Puerto Rican

Where are you in the island?

Luis, San Juan is on the NE Coast right :?:

#24 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:26 am

BonesXL wrote:Cycloneye...I live in Miami...but I'm from Cayey

Oh ok.

#25 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:27 am

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
BonesXL wrote:Thanks....Cycloneye....Fellow Puerto Rican

Where are you in the island?

Luis, San Juan is on the NE Coast right

North coast.

Cape Verde · #26 Postby **Cape Verde** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:35 am

It's awfully early, but the models certainly do indicate that this wave will become something far more significant.

#27 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:39 am

Where do you think the center will be? The new blob of convection or to the east?

#28 Postby **Downdraft** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:39 am

Man! Comparing the wave to Gilbert in the first week of July is quite a stretch. Let's remember Gilbert was one of the most powerful hurricanes in recent memory. I believe it set a record for lowest barometric pressure observed.

Greg · #29 Postby **Greg** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:40 am

This was posted in another thread here...
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2005070400&field=925mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation

#30 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:41 am

Downdraft wrote:Man! Comparing the wave to Gilbert in the first week of July is quite a stretch. Let's remember Gilbert was one of the most powerful hurricanes in recent memory. I believe it set a record for lowest barometric pressure observed.

Maybe he's trying to outbeat is prediction last week of a hurricane being in the gulf this week? (that's if TD3 amounts to anything)

Website · #31 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:41 am

Downdraft wrote:Man! Comparing the wave to Gilbert in the first week of July is quite a stretch. Let's remember Gilbert was one of the most powerful hurricanes in recent memory. I believe it set a record for lowest barometric pressure observed.

Yep...

I'll eat the computer if TD 3 gets anywhere REMOTELY close to Gilbert... even below 950 mb(much less 888 MB!!!) I think is highly unlikely.

#32 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:42 am

Brent wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Man! Comparing the wave to Gilbert in the first week of July is quite a stretch. Let's remember Gilbert was one of the most powerful hurricanes in recent memory. I believe it set a record for lowest barometric pressure observed.

Yep...

I'll eat the computer if TD 3 gets anywhere REMOTELY close to Gilbert... even below 950 mb(much less 888 MB!!!) I think is highly unlikely.

I don't believe he's talking about TD3. I believe he's talking about the eastern Carribean wave. There's no way TD3 would get that strong.

BonesXL · #33 Postby **BonesXL** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:42 am

I saw another model I believe it was the Navy model taking it in between dominica and PR through the florida strait

Website · #34 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:43 am

skysummit wrote:
Brent wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Man! Comparing the wave to Gilbert in the first week of July is quite a stretch. Let's remember Gilbert was one of the most powerful hurricanes in recent memory. I believe it set a record for lowest barometric pressure observed.

Yep...

I'll eat the computer if TD 3 gets anywhere REMOTELY close to Gilbert... even below 950 mb(much less 888 MB!!!) I think is highly unlikely.

I don't believe he's talking about TD3. I believe he's talking about the eastern Carribean wave. There's no way TD3 would get that strong.

Yep...

I don't forsee that either with TD 4. Maybe 950 mb isn't such a stretch in that case however. Certainly no Gilbert, not this early.

#35 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:44 am

Brent wrote:
skysummit wrote:
Brent wrote:
Downdraft wrote:Man! Comparing the wave to Gilbert in the first week of July is quite a stretch. Let's remember Gilbert was one of the most powerful hurricanes in recent memory. I believe it set a record for lowest barometric pressure observed.

Yep...

I'll eat the computer if TD 3 gets anywhere REMOTELY close to Gilbert... even below 950 mb(much less 888 MB!!!) I think is highly unlikely.

I don't believe he's talking about TD3. I believe he's talking about the eastern Carribean wave. There's no way TD3 would get that strong.

Yep...

I don't forsee that either with TD 4. Maybe 950 mb isn't such a stretch in that case however. Certainly no Gilbert, not this early.

Hmmm...me don't know that. Remember the conditions are almost 1 month ahead of schedule this year. So it's like the first week of August rather than July.

#36 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:45 am

The only bad thing against the wave is that s moving at 25 mph, if it doesn't slow down it will be very hard to develop a surface circulation.

Website · #37 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:46 am

skysummit wrote:Hmmm...me don't know that. Remember the conditions are almost 1 month ahead of schedule this year. So it's like the first week of August rather than July.

Gilbert had the lowest pressure ever in the Atlantic basin in 125 years of records. No storm has been sub-900 mb since.

#38 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 9:51 am

Brent wrote:
skysummit wrote:Hmmm...me don't know that. Remember the conditions are almost 1 month ahead of schedule this year. So it's like the first week of August rather than July.

Gilbert had the lowest pressure ever in the Atlantic basin in 125 years of records. No storm has been sub-900 mb since.

Well, yea....so this is an EXTREMELY bold statement to make. I agree, it may get strong, but to break records? Wow

#39 Postby **drezee** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:01 am

winds have turned S and SSW in the southern islands

cajungal · #40 Postby **cajungal** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 10:02 am

JB tries to hype up everything. Make people panic when it is not neccessary. The wave does look impressive however. David Bernard did mention it. It said it could get in the Gulf later this week. He said it will be the next thing to worry about for us. David Bernard is leaving for Miami with a bang! He even said he is amazed how many have affected the gulf so early in the season. David Bernard loves his city and his people. He is a great meterologist and we will be greatly missed. He may be working for Miami soon, but he will always look out for his New Orleans people.

The wave in the eastern caribbean....

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