Central Atlantic Wave

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mahicks
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#21 Postby mahicks » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:18 pm

ivanhater wrote:i wouldnt be suprised to see a depression form in the next couple of days

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15


whoaa...Thats a pretty big frickin area! :D
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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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#22 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:24 pm

I LOVE a debate....

Aha! Ridicule based on a false premise-
Good one Mr. Logic!



-removed- describes an intent to bring a storm to your area.
Fact is, I have no such intent. HAH! Refuted....now that's done...
think what you wish about it...I'm happy.


Nothing wrong with pointing out a long-range scenario.

In fact, if season 20XY is an active season, and the B-High is
slightly weak, and there are a lot of troughs forecast to take place
throughout September, and it's late August (in this example),
then it's plausible to say that E GOM/FL would have a threat of
probability FAVORING a landfalling cane it that location if one were
to occur.

I call it mathematics extrapolated. There is clearly no wishcast intent.
To call such a statement a wishcast would be FALSE. The prediction
may be inaccurate, but it's never a wishcast because there was no
such intent.


Vhahhoooo Vhere IZZ ZEE Clicker???? I have Zee Clicker! hahahahahahahaahahahahahahaha
I care not what others think in cases where I have made my refutations.
Good night :D
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:32 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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#23 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:28 pm

Good Debate though! Thanks for the storm2k debate round :wink:
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mahicks
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#24 Postby mahicks » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:31 pm

Scorpion wrote:I agree. Weaker ridge, low tracker = threat to FL


IF...and I mean IF...this happens..

In 10-14 days...if about a billion other things pan out...


Yeah....You could be correct..
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#25 Postby boca » Wed Aug 10, 2005 11:15 pm

I agree in later Sept or Oct the western Carribean flares up and if the bermuda high is weak watch out.
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#26 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:58 am

bump
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#27 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 11, 2005 12:02 pm

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#28 Postby sma10 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 12:12 pm

Perhaps the best look at the central atlantic mass is:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html

When you animate you may notice that the Eastern portion of the mass has a slight turning to it and appears to be subtly gaining latitude away from the ITCZ.
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#29 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 11, 2005 12:15 pm

sma10 wrote:Perhaps the best look at the central atlantic mass is:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html

When you animate you may notice that the Eastern portion of the mass has a slight turning to it and appears to be subtly gaining latitude away from the ITCZ.


good view, if you dont mind, keep posting the images
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#30 Postby sma10 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 12:24 pm

ivanhater wrote:
sma10 wrote:Perhaps the best look at the central atlantic mass is:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html

When you animate you may notice that the Eastern portion of the mass has a slight turning to it and appears to be subtly gaining latitude away from the ITCZ.


good view, if you dont mind, keep posting the images


I know most people already know this, but for those who don't -- when you go to this link
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnhe.html
after selecting the "Animation" button, you can then click on any area of the satellite picture and you will get a loop that is close up and much more detailed.
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#31 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:08 pm

but again, the convection from these waves is slowly dying out as usual. This seems to be happening alot lately. Usually if it's mentioned by the NHC then it's something to watch. They have a pretty good record regarding this. We also need some better Atlantic conditions if anything else is going to develop soon.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#32 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:58 pm

If we don't have another tropical storm before August 22. Then 1995 is going to kick this year back to the stone age.
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#33 Postby Frank2 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:12 pm

I know it sounds contrary to the above posts, but, the eastern Atlantic ITCZ has become very active this afternoon, per the latest Meteosat IR loop...

Frank
Last edited by Frank2 on Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#34 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:14 pm

Frank2 wrote:The eastern Atlantic ITCZ is becoming very active this afternoon...

Frank



stuff is about to start popping like popcorn very soon in my opinion
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#35 Postby sma10 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:33 pm

Frank2 wrote:I know it sounds contrary to the above posts, but, the eastern Atlantic ITCZ has become very active this afternoon, per the latest Meteosat IR loop...

Frank


Frank:

What is your impression of the large area around 10n 40w? I thought at first that the Eastern portion was beginning to head WNW on its own, but at 2nd glance there almost seems to be a large rotation centered around the entire mass at around 8N 44W
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Ivanhater
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#36 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:36 pm

central atlantic wave seems to be getting better organized

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... C_SCALE=15
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#37 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:39 pm

565
ABNT20 KNHC 112129
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU AUG 11 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 950
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH


But NHC does not think there is anything there or anywhere in the atlantic right now that may organize soon.
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#38 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:43 pm

well ive seen plenty of times over the years where something is organizing and they dont mention it till its almost a names storm already....i think this is forming as we speak
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#39 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:44 pm

It looks pretty good to me. Need to start watching it.
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Scorpion

#40 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 11, 2005 4:53 pm

I see two nice areas that could possibly develop.
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