POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT!!! for se coast

[kmanWX]

there does not seem to be anything wrong with this thread. RS posted her opinion and gave the 2k disclaimer. Thread seems just fine

i dont understand why there was talk to lock this thread. She was just speaking her mind. I tell you something about rs she may down the weather occasionally but I highly credit her when she say that something will happen trust me she has a good track record 'in that Field' for that and respect it, and theres not to many people which I can say that about.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I agree rainstorms pretty good.

[MiamiensisWx]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If the strong shear over Florida, the southeastern U.S. and northwest Caribbean and Bahamas does not quit down or shift the development of this system may be in jeopardy. Just a thought...

Here is the latest on shear in the area...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

There sure is a lot of areas with 20KT to 30KT shear!

[WeatherEmperor]

This system has been in jeapordy since it was born. but you are correct.

<RICKY>

[clfenwi]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If the strong shear over Florida, the southeastern U.S. and northwest Caribbean and Bahamas does not quit down or shift the development of this system may be in jeopardy. Just a thought...

Here is the latest on shear in the area...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

There sure is a lot of areas with 20KT to 30KT shear!

GFS is suggesting that it will die down rather quickly.

Right now there is a robust mid-upper level anti-cyclone over the southeast U.S. and an upper level low at about 25N/67W. Their two flows are meeting off-shore. The point where there flows diverge (the anti-cyclone's flow going to the west, and the low's to the east) is where the worst of the shear is at. Verily, the 18Z GFS 200 mb analysis shows 50 knot winds in that vicinity: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_000m.gif )

The features are pretty apparent on water vapor as well.
http:weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrwv.html

The model draws down the anti-cyclone such that there isn't that area of divergence that is present now, thereby leaving a quieter upper atmosphere in the area by tomorrow afternoon:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_024m.gif

[rainstorm]

things are looking like development will occur this evening. whether it hits the se coast or goes into the gom is hard to say at this time