TD12 Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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skysummit
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#21 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:38 am

Boy, it really doesn't look to be moving much at all right now. It's like it's kinda sitting there getting itself together for recon.
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#22 Postby x-y-no » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:41 am

Wow ... nice flareup over the center now - if that banding to the NW can wrap around, we may really have something here.
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#23 Postby raynpa » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:41 am

Tell me if Im wrong but this system appears to have two centers, one just north of Cuba, and the other in the se bahamas. Comments welcome
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#24 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:41 am

Brought over from the other thread:

Posted: Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:56 am

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If you zoom here

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

There is a very small but very clear LLC at 22.7N 75.0W

You can see the inflow of the surface clouds from way west feeding into it and wrapping.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We finally have a LLC!
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#25 Postby Frank P » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:41 am

skysummit wrote:Boy, it really doesn't look to be moving much at all right now. It's like it's kinda sitting there getting itself together for recon.


Check out the water vapor loop... shows the system attm moving slowly off to the wnw....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#26 Postby dhweather » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:44 am

Why don't we just call it Ivan? :lol:
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#27 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:45 am

jschlitz wrote:Brought over from the other thread:

Posted: Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:56 am

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If you zoom here

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

There is a very small but very clear LLC at 22.7N 75.0W

You can see the inflow of the surface clouds from way west feeding into it and wrapping.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We finally have a LLC!


Updated - it's a little west of 75.0 now (75.1/75.2 ish). You might have to go back at least 10 frames to see it, the tops from the convection firing to the S and SE of the LLC is starting to hide the LLC on the visibles. But it's definitely there!
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#28 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:46 am

dhweather wrote:Why don't we just call it Ivan? :lol:


Hmmmmm I don't think many on this will like reading that.
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#29 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:47 am

yah, i only have 1 class today...so i can track this....this is certainly organizing this morning
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#30 Postby x-y-no » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:47 am

raynpa wrote:Tell me if Im wrong but this system appears to have two centers, one just north of Cuba, and the other in the se bahamas. Comments welcome


I think the overall circulation is really elongated to the west, but the center is just SW of Long Island. If the convectin continues to build back there, we should see this circulation tighten up.
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#31 Postby Frank P » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:48 am

jschlitz wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Brought over from the other thread:

Posted: Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:56 am

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If you zoom here

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

There is a very small but very clear LLC at 22.7N 75.0W

You can see the inflow of the surface clouds from way west feeding into it and wrapping.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We finally have a LLC!


Updated - it's a little west of 75.0 now (75.1/75.2 ish). You might have to go back at least 10 frames to see it, the tops from the convection firing to the S and SE of the LLC is starting to hide the LLC on the visibles. But it's definitely there!


and looking more organized by the minute... convection firing off near the center which is obsecuring its exact location but its still somewhat discernable by viewing the rotation of the low level clouds you can see
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#32 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:49 am

It looks like those showers to the north of the center show signs of wrapping....uh oh.
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chadtm80

#33 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:51 am

Hope they decide to move the floater soon
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Rainband

#34 Postby Rainband » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:54 am

chadtm80 wrote:Hope they decide to move the floater soon
I agree
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#35 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:54 am

chadtm80 wrote:Hope they decide to move the floater soon


Yes agree on that.Dixie where are you?
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#36 Postby dwg71 » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:55 am

It appears to have picked up forward speed and is on a b-line for Grand Bahama...
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#37 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:57 am

dhweather wrote:Why don't we just call it Ivan? :lol:


:roflmao:
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#38 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:58 am

chadtm80 wrote:Hope they decide to move the floater soon


I do too.
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#39 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 23, 2005 10:58 am

What kind of affect will the ULL to the north of our system have? The ULL looks to be moving a bit faster than our system, and toward the west or just south of due west. Any opinions?

Image
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#40 Postby x-y-no » Tue Aug 23, 2005 11:01 am

dwg71 wrote:It appears to have picked up forward speed and is on a b-line for Grand Bahama...


Still looks like a fairly slow WNW motion in the general direction of Andros Island to me.
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