East Shift??

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Seele
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 143
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 9:14 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

#21 Postby Seele » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:40 am

I haven't seen the 12z GFS, but I'm not seeing the huge shift east. Other than the the GFDL and A98E( :lol: ) They look right over SE LA. You can't use the line that's drawn between points, that turn will be curved and that curve takes it right over LA still. Sorry to you folks in Biloxi and Mobile, but I hope more east is right. It's just too early too early to base anything on a few mile shift in some models.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cape Verde
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 564
Age: 70
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:53 pm
Location: Houston area

#22 Postby Cape Verde » Sat Aug 27, 2005 10:27 am

Until Katrina starts her northward path, guessing where she'll make landfall is pure speculation. It's pretty darn hard to suggest a more eastern landfall while the storm is still moving west.
0 likes   

User avatar
karenfromheaven
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 171
Age: 71
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 4:45 pm
Location: North Naples, FL

#23 Postby karenfromheaven » Sat Aug 27, 2005 10:39 am

Ixolib wrote:Based on everyone's input, is it going:

To N.O.?
West of N.O.?
MS Coast?
AL Coast?
FL Coast?

Too confused this am. Can somebody clear this up once and for all? East, West???


I'm assuming you are asking this question because you are trying to decide what's best for you and your family. Here is my short answer: GET OUT. GET OUT NOW. Read the 10:00 AM Hurricane Center update and discussion. They are calling for a Cat 4 hurricane at your doorstep. The storm surge alone will be like a tsunami in slow motion. Ivan was at Cat 4 before it weakened, but it brought in its huge storm surge anyway. Many houses were wiped clean from the beach and they had to pull bodies out of the trees before letting residents back into the area.

Still unsure? Katrina will be like a huge 30 or 40 mile wide F2 tornado. An F2 tornado ranges from 113 to 157 mph in speed, causes considerable damage to these types of stuctures: Roofs torn off frame houses; mobile homes demolished; boxcars pushed over; large trees snapped or uprooted; light object missiles generated. Can your house take a direct hit from an F2 tornado? GET OUT. GET OUT NOW.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 313 guests