Accuweather Track Still Shows Ophelia Cutting Accross FL

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
DoctorHurricane2003

#21 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 2:16 pm

Originally Posted by Frank2:

It's rare for systems nearing 30N to move westward or southwestward, and, it irritates me that people constantly refer to Betsy - that was 40 years ago! Only two systems, the "Yankee Hurricane" of 1935, and Betsy of 1965, had similar tracks - again, it is a very rare occurence.


Really???? That's news to me!

Systems since 2000 above 25 N that have moved WSW/SW/S

2005 KATRINA
Image

2004 JEANNE
Image

2003 ERIKA
Image

2003 KATE
Image

2003 PETER
Image

2002 BERTHA
Image

2002 EDOUARD
Image

The epitome of them all:

2002 KYLE
Image

Second Place:

2001 OLGA
Image

2000 ALBERTO
Image



Happy Birthday :)
Last edited by DoctorHurricane2003 on Wed Sep 07, 2005 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
wxcrazytwo

#22 Postby wxcrazytwo » Wed Sep 07, 2005 2:20 pm

LOL, OH DANG!!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :cry: :cry: :cry: :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   
Top
f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#23 Postby f5 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 3:00 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:
Originally Posted by Frank2:

It's rare for systems nearing 30N to move westward or southwestward, and, it irritates me that people constantly refer to Betsy - that was 40 years ago! Only two systems, the "Yankee Hurricane" of 1935, and Betsy of 1965, had similar tracks - again, it is a very rare occurence.


Really???? That's news to me!

Systems since 2000 above 25 N that have moved WSW/SW/S

2005 KATRINA
Image

2004 JEANNE
Image

2003 ERIKA
Image

2003 KATE
Image

2003 PETER
Image

2002 BERTHA
Image

2002 EDOUARD
Image

The epitome of them all:

2002 KYLE
Image

Second Place:

2001 OLGA
Image

2000 ALBERTO
Image



Happy Birthday :)


I love peter's track
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#24 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 3:10 pm

Gotta love Kyle's path though....reminds me of a drawing I saw once by a toddler :A:
0 likes   
Top
f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#25 Postby f5 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 3:20 pm

I wonder if peter was the H20 Apostile by making the fish symbol which represents jesus :fishing:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneQueen
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1011
Age: 80
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:36 pm
Location: No. Naples, Fl (Vanderbilt Beach area)

#26 Postby HurricaneQueen » Wed Sep 07, 2005 3:28 pm

OK. I'll bite. What is an X-18 x ray flair? and how does it interract with a storm near land?


Thanks,
Lynn
0 likes   
GO FLORIDA GATORS
Top
User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#27 Postby fci » Wed Sep 07, 2005 4:51 pm

Where does it say that JB forecasted this to be a Cat 5????? :roll: :?: :roll: :?:
0 likes   
Top
truballer#1

#28 Postby truballer#1 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 5:03 pm

fci wrote:Where does it say that JB forecasted this to be a Cat 5????? :roll: :?: :roll: :?:


really
0 likes   
Top
f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#29 Postby f5 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 5:31 pm

truballer#1 wrote:
fci wrote:Where does it say that JB forecasted this to be a Cat 5????? :roll: :?: :roll: :?:


really


It was my fault i was the one hypercriticizing his hyperforecasting
so much for trying to extinguish a blazing comment
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
acidus
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:10 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#30 Postby acidus » Wed Sep 07, 2005 6:55 pm

fci wrote:Where does it say that JB forecasted this to be a Cat 5????? :roll: :?: :roll: :?:


He didn't say that. Ophelia is likely to cross the FL peninsula according to the Accuweather track, and Joe is THE guy for Accuweather's hurricanes.

Apparently a lot of ppl don't like JB here.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#31 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:01 pm

looks like our storm has decided to drift some ESE.... :eek:

check the NWS melbourne radar out:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kmlb.shtml
0 likes   
Top
truballer#1

#32 Postby truballer#1 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:03 pm

maybe doing a loop
0 likes   
Top
LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6853
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

#33 Postby LarryWx » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:09 pm

boca_chris wrote:looks like our storm has decided to drift some ESE.... :eek:

check the NWS melbourne radar out:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kmlb.shtml


It still looks about stationary to me.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:
Contact wxmann_91

#34 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:15 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:
Originally Posted by Frank2:

It's rare for systems nearing 30N to move westward or southwestward, and, it irritates me that people constantly refer to Betsy - that was 40 years ago! Only two systems, the "Yankee Hurricane" of 1935, and Betsy of 1965, had similar tracks - again, it is a very rare occurence.


Really???? That's news to me!

Systems since 2000 above 25 N that have moved WSW/SW/S

2005 KATRINA
Image

2004 JEANNE
Image

2003 ERIKA
Image

2003 KATE
Image

2003 PETER
Image

2002 BERTHA
Image

2002 EDOUARD
Image

The epitome of them all:

2002 KYLE
Image

Second Place:

2001 OLGA
Image

2000 ALBERTO
Image



Happy Birthday :)


Here are some more examples from before 2000:

Ginger 1971:

Image

Fern 1971:

Image
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#35 Postby WeatherEmperor » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:25 pm

wow Ginger lasted a whole month

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#36 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:27 pm

they are holding on to that till the death huh?

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
acidus
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:10 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#37 Postby acidus » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:32 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:they are holding on to that till the death huh?


So far, still crossing the peninsula @ Accuweather. Wonder how tommorow morning's AccuWX vs. NHC will look.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ronjon
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4887
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 5:17 pm
Location: Hernando Beach, FL

#38 Postby ronjon » Wed Sep 07, 2005 7:41 pm

To get JBs logic you need to check out point/counterpoint at the link below.
I'm not a big fan of JB, but he does have a knack for recognizing pattern changes in the upper atmosphere. His logic, to paraphrase, is the trough will not pick up the storm and high pressure will build in from the north creating an easterly upper level flow to push the storm across FL into the GOM. His thinking does have model support with 12Z GFDL, 12Z ECMWF, and 12Z ETA models.


http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ronjon, StormWeather, tolakram and 119 guests