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wxman57 wrote:18Z GFDL just came in. It continued the trend from 12Z - stationary for 60 hours, then a north jog to 30N then WNW into northern Florida by Jacksonville and inland across southern GA/AL. I still don't buy the NE motion by the GFS and NOGAPS, but I could buy a westward movement after 60 hours from wherever the center is at the time.
jdray wrote:wxman57 wrote:18Z GFDL just came in. It continued the trend from 12Z - stationary for 60 hours, then a north jog to 30N then WNW into northern Florida by Jacksonville and inland across southern GA/AL. I still don't buy the NE motion by the GFS and NOGAPS, but I could buy a westward movement after 60 hours from wherever the center is at the time.
Not liking the trend by the GFDL at all here.
Got my food and water supplies topped off today. Have enough on hand for 10 days now. I will have 50 gals of fresh water and enough food to feed my family of 4. Just waiting now to see if I need to board up tomorrow or not. I don't like the way this thing is beginning to look for us up here in NE Fl right now. I hope that others in this area are beginning to take this seriously and not waiting till the last minute.
FlSteel wrote:jdray wrote:wxman57 wrote:18Z GFDL just came in. It continued the trend from 12Z - stationary for 60 hours, then a north jog to 30N then WNW into northern Florida by Jacksonville and inland across southern GA/AL. I still don't buy the NE motion by the GFS and NOGAPS, but I could buy a westward movement after 60 hours from wherever the center is at the time.
Not liking the trend by the GFDL at all here.
Got my food and water supplies topped off today. Have enough on hand for 10 days now. I will have 50 gals of fresh water and enough food to feed my family of 4. Just waiting now to see if I need to board up tomorrow or not. I don't like the way this thing is beginning to look for us up here in NE Fl right now. I hope that others in this area are beginning to take this seriously and not waiting till the last minute.
CYCLONE MIKE wrote:wxman57, I am sick at the fact that there is even a remote chance of this getting in the gulf living here in SE LA. I do agree with you though about her entering the gulf. We always see the models down-playing the ridge and over strengthening the troughs. The two scenarios I see happening as of now are the ridge blocks her and sends her southwest acorss Florida then west through the gulf or she moves ENE like Derek says then does a loop and comes back around and crosses central/southern Folrida on a west to wsw heading. Just my ideas. They will more than likely change come tomorrow. That high does look forecast to be awfully strong though. I guess time will tell.
fci wrote:CYCLONE MIKE wrote:wxman57, I am sick at the fact that there is even a remote chance of this getting in the gulf living here in SE LA. I do agree with you though about her entering the gulf. We always see the models down-playing the ridge and over strengthening the troughs. The two scenarios I see happening as of now are the ridge blocks her and sends her southwest acorss Florida then west through the gulf or she moves ENE like Derek says then does a loop and comes back around and crosses central/southern Folrida on a west to wsw heading. Just my ideas. They will more than likely change come tomorrow. That high does look forecast to be awfully strong though. I guess time will tell.
I think the further East she moves the more it puts more of Florida in the cone if and when, it loops back.
I like the angle now for our area since it would have to move S or SSW to get here.
It gets out to sea 100-175 miles then it is a SW movement that brings it back down to the "Hurricane magnet". Betsy got as far north as 29 and east as 75 before it looped back.
I just don't see it coming ashore in NE Fl, SE Ga since they have that "Hurricane repellent" protecting them.
Deb321 wrote:fci wrote:CYCLONE MIKE wrote:wxman57, I am sick at the fact that there is even a remote chance of this getting in the gulf living here in SE LA. I do agree with you though about her entering the gulf. We always see the models down-playing the ridge and over strengthening the troughs. The two scenarios I see happening as of now are the ridge blocks her and sends her southwest acorss Florida then west through the gulf or she moves ENE like Derek says then does a loop and comes back around and crosses central/southern Folrida on a west to wsw heading. Just my ideas. They will more than likely change come tomorrow. That high does look forecast to be awfully strong though. I guess time will tell.
I think the further East she moves the more it puts more of Florida in the cone if and when, it loops back.
I like the angle now for our area since it would have to move S or SSW to get here.
It gets out to sea 100-175 miles then it is a SW movement that brings it back down to the "Hurricane magnet". Betsy got as far north as 29 and east as 75 before it looped back.
I just don't see it coming ashore in NE Fl, SE Ga since they have that "Hurricane repellent" protecting them.
I'm sure some of those poor people in NOLA thought the same thing
southfloridawx2005 wrote:do you all remember when katrina was supposed to do what she was supposed to do landfalling on florida and moving west into the panhandle. Now I think that this thing is going to be pushed farther south cause of the diving ridge it looks pretty strong now. It didn't before but, now as i look at the vapor it seems to be pushing down on her. I don't know someone else look at it.
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