Wave Approaching Southeastern Bahamas (N of P.R./Hispaniola)

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boca
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#21 Postby boca » Mon Sep 12, 2005 7:04 am

It does have an interesting look to it this morning and I'm a bit surprised its still their being so close to Ophelia I thought yesterday that this system would of been pulled to the north due to the big O circulation.
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Patrick99
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#22 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Sep 12, 2005 7:26 am

Whatever it is, it has better looking convection than Ophelia at the moment.

Maria "threatening" Iceland? LOL - I think the Icelandic people see plenty of strong extratropical storms throughout a given year, and shrug them off the way we shrug off a summer rainshower. Wind is the norm in Iceland, not the exception. ROFL
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CHRISTY

wow convection still flareing up!! can this develope?

#23 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Sep 12, 2005 9:25 am

convection still flareing up!
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#24 Postby EDR1222 » Mon Sep 12, 2005 11:45 am

It is worth watching. If Ophelia ever decides to move out of the way, it might have a better chance. Lets see what happens with Ophelia over the next couple of days.
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MiamiensisWx

#25 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Sep 12, 2005 11:49 am

It is much weaker in convection but it is still there. It has lost all it's deep convection but is in a moist environment. There is shear ahead of it which will probably limit organization; however, guards should not be let down. The wave is now north-northwest of Puerto Rico and north of Hispaniola. Here is the latest infra-red imagery...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

Here is the latest visible imagery...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/VIS/20.jpg

Here is the latest water vapor imagery...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/WV/20.jpg

It is barely surviving now. If it persists until conditions in front if it become more favorable (most likely very gradually), however, it could regenerate convection.
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MiamiensisWx

#26 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:05 pm

It is now close to dissipating, despite currently only 5KT to 10KT shear and a moist environment ahead of it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/WV/20.jpg
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

As a side note, it is interesting to note that waters are now much cooler around Florida and in the Bahamas than recently, such as before and at Katrina.
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MiamiensisWx

#27 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Sep 13, 2005 10:44 am

The wave has now dissipated. Ophelia is now the main thing to watch, as well as the eastern Atlantic and/or African waves.
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