Can the Greek alphabet storms be retired?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#21 Postby O Town » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:08 am

Don't you think the chances of ever reaching the greek alphabet again, IF we happen to do it in the years ahead, is highly unlikely? I think if we happen to get to Alpha and it did make a landfall and cause great damage and loss of life, the likley hood of reaching Alpha again seems unlikey to me. Just my 2 cents.
0 likes   

inotherwords
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 773
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 9:04 pm
Location: Nokomis, FL

Re: None

#22 Postby inotherwords » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:35 am

jimvb wrote:None, as far as I know. The closest approach was 1933, which, if the naming system were used then, would have gone to W. That year had 21 storms.


Thanks. I would guess in the pre-satellite world of 1960 there may have been some named storms missed, too, that formed and diminished before ships or airplanes reported them. So maybe some of these years might possibly have had enough storms to go into the alphas, too, using the current naming system as a model.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#23 Postby senorpepr » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:54 am

inotherwords wrote:senorpepr, thanks for the fascinating info!

Question for you: who decides if a name is retired, is it NHC? Also, I wonder what their criteria for retirement is? I know it's significant damage and destruction, but you've also named a few Cat 3 storms that had this whose names were not retired. I'm just wondering how they judge what's significant, if they have some sort of benchmarks they look for.

Thanks! I know you say you've gone over this before but it was new to me and so I very much appreciate you discussing this again.

Maybe this could go in a S2K FAQ somewhere so you could just point people to it when the question pops up again.

I'm also curious: Since we started using the people names for storms, in which years (if any) did we have so many storms that we went into the alphas? Thanks again.


First, the NHC doesn't retire name solely. All the nations in the Atlantic basin meet at a WMO meeting in the following Spring. One of the topics that come up is name retirement. They vote whether certain storms are retired.

As for criteria for retirement... it's nothing more than significant damage and/or casualities. There are no set figures. Basically it's up to the landfalling nation to decide whether the storm was bad enough to warrent retirement.

As for your last question... since we've began using name... T was as far as we have gone. Had we named storms in the 30s, 1933 would have reached W. That is the record-holding year.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

Re: Alpha

#24 Postby senorpepr » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:58 am

jimvb wrote:The principle that names get retired but numbers and letters don't is merely a rule about how we use words and letters, not a fact carved in stone. The NHC has not said as far as I can tell whether it would retire Alpha if it was a major storm that caused problems.

A (capital alpha) is a letter. Alpha is a word and a name. It is part of the name of the nearest star system to the Sun, Alpha Centauri.

Some alternatives for a destructive Alpha cyclone are:

Increment the name. Next year, the 22nd storm would be called Alphb.
Skip the name. Next year, the 22nd storm would be Beta.
Cycle the names. The 22nd storm this year would be Arlene; possibly Arlene 2.
Year the name. The 22nd storm this year would be Alpha 2005.
Use another alphabet. The 22nd storm next year would be Aleph.


Once again... Alpha is a letter... not a word. Just as Dog or Easy are letters... not words. Storms lettered Dog or Easy in the 50s warrented retirement, but didn't because of being a letter. Same thing for storms lettered Alpha or Beta.

Regardless... you'll never see the NHC increment the letters (Alphb) or skip names (Beta) or cycle names (Arlene 2) or use another alphabet (Aleph). The confusion would be even greater.
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

Re: Alpha

#25 Postby P.K. » Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:40 am

senorpepr wrote:Once again... Alpha is a letter... not a word. Just as Dog or Easy are letters... not words. Storms lettered Dog or Easy in the 50s warrented retirement, but didn't because of being a letter. Same thing for storms lettered Alpha or Beta.


Alpha is just how it is pronounced. :P If we do get that far I'll be referring to it as TS/Hurricane α :lol:(Hope the greek alphabet works in this forum or that might look wrong) :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
jimvb
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 397
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:03 am
Location: Richmond, Virginia
Contact:

Alpha is a word

#26 Postby jimvb » Mon Sep 26, 2005 11:01 am

Alpha is a five-letter word. It means a letter, but it is a word. The same for Dog, Easy, and so forth which are part of an old phonetic alphabet.

You are right about my alternatives, which I just threw out as ways of dealing with retiring a post-W name. I think they would simply call it Alpha, even if a previous devastating hurricane were Alpha. To make it clear, people would call them Alpha 2005, for instance.

By the way, how did you get that small alpha to appear in your message? I tried ampersand "alpha" semicolon and ampersand sharp "945" semicolon, enclosed and not-enclosed by Code, but they didn't work.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#27 Postby Anonymous » Mon Sep 26, 2005 11:49 am

I think if we have any bad greek named storms...they will not be retired. For example...if we have a Cat 5 Disaster of Hurricane Gamma...what are the chances that 30 years later...a Tropical Storm Gamma would be a Cat 5 disaster?

I think this year, we will see Dennis, Emily, Katrina, Rita retired...and proabaly replaced...IMO:::

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Derek
Elaine
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Kathleen
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Raquel
Stan
Tammy
Vince
Wilma
0 likes   

otowntiger
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1924
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:06 pm

#28 Postby otowntiger » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:05 pm

senorpepr wrote:Wow... this question keeps popping up. I'll repeat once again.

A) Storms are NOT automatically retired if they become category five. They must cause significant damage and/or casualities. A category five fish will NOT be retired.

B) The "overtime" storms will be named: "Alpha" "Beta" "Gamma" etc. No year will be tacked on the end.

C) Greek letters will NOT be retired. They don't retire depression numbers and they don't retire Greek letters. Only names that cause significant damage and/or casualities.


WOW what an smart(y) reply. I had the same question and I disagree in part with your answer. There would be a HUGE difference between a depression # and a cat 4/5 hurricane that causes catastrophic damage that happens to be named "Alpha". I'm sure that since it would be an unprecedented occurance they would for posterity call it "Alpha 2005" and be done with it. In the rare case that "Alpha" had to be used again, it could.
0 likes   

JohnTK5
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 22
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:25 pm

Re: Alpha is a word

#29 Postby JohnTK5 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:39 pm

jimvb wrote:Alpha is a five-letter word. It means a letter, but it is a word. The same for Dog, Easy, and so forth which are part of an old phonetic alphabet.

You are right about my alternatives, which I just threw out as ways of dealing with retiring a post-W name. I think they would simply call it Alpha, even if a previous devastating hurricane were Alpha. To make it clear, people would call them Alpha 2005, for instance.

By the way, how did you get that small alpha to appear in your message? I tried ampersand "alpha" semicolon and ampersand sharp "945" semicolon, enclosed and not-enclosed by Code, but they didn't work.


Incorrect Alpha is not word which means a letter, it is a letter. However Alpha is also a word, but in this case it is being used as a letter. As a word alpha means the begining, however in this case it is being used strictly as a letter.
0 likes   

sma10
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1710
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 1:13 pm

#30 Postby sma10 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:46 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:I think if we have any bad greek named storms...they will not be retired. For example...if we have a Cat 5 Disaster of Hurricane Gamma...what are the chances that 30 years later...a Tropical Storm Gamma would be a Cat 5 disaster?

I think this year, we will see Dennis, Emily, Katrina, Rita retired...and proabaly replaced...IMO:::

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Derek
Elaine
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Kathleen
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Raquel
Stan
Tammy
Vince
Wilma


This is just bizarre. You're now predicting what the replacement names will be????
0 likes   

Snowzealot
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:07 pm

#31 Postby Snowzealot » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:38 pm

If in fact there is a current policy that Alpha and Beta can't be retired because they are mere alphabets is ridiculous. The notion that we could have an Alpha that kills thousands, causes $200 billion in damage and it still wouldn't be retired is silly. They should add the year to the Greek Alphabet and retire them just the same as storms named after people. And yeah, the "we don't retire numbers" rule is equally as stupid.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#32 Postby Anonymous » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:16 pm

sma10 wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:I think if we have any bad greek named storms...they will not be retired. For example...if we have a Cat 5 Disaster of Hurricane Gamma...what are the chances that 30 years later...a Tropical Storm Gamma would be a Cat 5 disaster?

I think this year, we will see Dennis, Emily, Katrina, Rita retired...and proabaly replaced...IMO:::

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Derek
Elaine
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Kathleen
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Raquel
Stan
Tammy
Vince
Wilma


This is just bizarre. You're now predicting what the replacement names will be????


Always interesting to guess. Last year I was accurate with Fiona replacing Frances
0 likes   

User avatar
gilbert88
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:57 pm

#33 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:23 pm

Nevermind...
Last edited by gilbert88 on Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
gilbert88
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:57 pm

#34 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:23 pm

Snowzealot wrote:If in fact there is a current policy that Alpha and Beta can't be retired because they are mere alphabets is ridiculous. The notion that we could have an Alpha that kills thousands, causes $200 billion in damage and it still wouldn't be retired is silly. They should add the year to the Greek Alphabet and retire them just the same as storms named after people. And yeah, the "we don't retire numbers" rule is equally as stupid.


They should? Why? Why is it stupid not to retire depressions? The retiring of names was stablished for practical reasons, it is not a standard set in stone.
0 likes   

curtadams
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1122
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:57 pm
Location: Orange, California
Contact:

#35 Postby curtadams » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:43 pm

Um - they retire names to minimize confusion. I can't think of anything MORE confusing than to retire a number or a letter! If they retired Alpha EVERY time we got to Beta there would be mass confusion in the public and even here: "What about Alpha?" "I thought we just had the W storm?" requiring endless tedious media discussion of what letters have and have not been retired, and even MORE tedious discussions here of whether it was appropriate to retire the letter! Yuck!
0 likes   

bombarderoazul
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 186
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:12 pm

#36 Postby bombarderoazul » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:39 pm

How about using a system similar to what is used to name EPAC storms, they have a few names for their storms past the letter W.

list of 2005.

Adrian
Beatriz
Calvin
Dora
Eugene
Fernanda
Greg
Hilary
Irwin
Jova
Kenneth
Lidia
Max
Norma
Otis
Pilar
Ramon
Selma
Todd
Veronica
Wiley
Xina
York
Zelda
0 likes   

User avatar
johngaltfla
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2069
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:17 pm
Location: Sarasota County, FL
Contact:

Re: Can the Greek alphabet storms be retired?

#37 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:45 pm

Aqua Teen Hunger Force wrote:Assuming we get to greek letters, and one of them becomes a cat 5 (which I heard means being automatically retired) would it still get retired though? If so, what will replace it?


If we get to the Greek alphabet, I'm going to automatically retire and move into the Rocky Mountains. I'll gamble with mountain lions and blizzards vs. losing everything annually.

:eek:
0 likes   

FunkMasterB
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 96
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:24 am

#38 Postby FunkMasterB » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:45 pm

however in this case it is being used strictly as a letter.

No, if it was the letter it would be 'A'. Alpha is the Greek word for the letter A. I like to argue.
0 likes   

sma10
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1710
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 1:13 pm

#39 Postby sma10 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:56 pm

curtadams wrote:Um - they retire names to minimize confusion. I can't think of anything MORE confusing than to retire a number or a letter! If they retired Alpha EVERY time we got to Beta there would be mass confusion in the public and even here: "What about Alpha?" "I thought we just had the W storm?" requiring endless tedious media discussion of what letters have and have not been retired, and even MORE tedious discussions here of whether it was appropriate to retire the letter! Yuck!


'EVERY time we got to Beta'? How often do you think we'll hit the Greek alphabet? Maybe once every 50 years?

Also, I like your exaggeration that "there would be mass confusion in the public." I think if you asked an average member of the masses to recite the Greek alphabet, I don't think one in ten will know the first two letters. Nevertheless, should someone actually pipe up and ask, "What about Alpha?" the answer would be "Oh, that was the storm back in 2005 that killed 50,000 people and caused $100 billion in damage."
0 likes   

gpickett00
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 262
Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 8:47 pm
Location: Satellite Beach Florida
Contact:

#40 Postby gpickett00 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:01 pm

FunkMasterB wrote:
I like to argue.


thats awesome. thats why i read this message board
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: abajan, ElectricStorm, johngaltfla, Keldeo1997, LAF92, ouragans, Pelicane, TampaWxLurker and 136 guests