UPDATE: 1,400 dead after mudslide from Stan in Guatemala

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1199
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

#21 Postby Buck » Sat Oct 08, 2005 12:25 pm

This is horrible.
0 likes   

f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#22 Postby f5 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 12:26 pm

HurricaneBill wrote:
wxwatcher91 wrote:this is truely incredible

we could have 5 retired storms this year


Dennis: maybe
Emily: maybe
Katrina: definite
Rita: maybe
Stan: maybe


Actually, I'd say all 5 are most likely.

Dennis: Category 4 landfalls on Cuba, causing massive devastation. Category 3 landfall on the U.S.

Emily: Category 4 (or at least 3) landfall on Yucatan and Category 3 landfall on Mexican gulf coast. Damage severe at second landfall.

Katrina: Category 1 landfall on southern Florida and Category 4 landfall on Gulf coast. Catastrophic damage.

Rita: Category 3 landfall on Louisiana. Severe damage.

Stan: Category 1 landfall on Mexico and widespread flooding.


don't forget Rita had an 897mb pressure
0 likes   

User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1199
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

#23 Postby Buck » Sat Oct 08, 2005 12:46 pm

Dennis, Katrina, and Rita are most definitely retired. Emily and Stan have a 96% chance.
0 likes   

f5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1550
Joined: Thu Aug 25, 2005 3:29 pm
Location: Waco,tx

#24 Postby f5 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 1:00 pm

Stan:don't take weak Hurricanes lightly
0 likes   

superfly

#25 Postby superfly » Sat Oct 08, 2005 1:08 pm

Buck wrote:Dennis, Katrina, and Rita are most definitely retired. Emily and Stan have a 96% chance.


If the 1400+ death toll is true, Stan is 100% gone.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#26 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Oct 08, 2005 1:43 pm

He is now more deadly then Katrina.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

#27 Postby HurricaneBill » Sat Oct 08, 2005 1:48 pm

Buck wrote:Dennis, Katrina, and Rita are most definitely retired. Emily and Stan have a 96% chance.


Emily had two major landfalls. She'll be retired.
0 likes   

User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1199
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

#28 Postby Buck » Sat Oct 08, 2005 2:10 pm

Hello... 96% chance is only me saying that if any of them won't be, it's these two. I totally, fully, completely am convinced that all 5 will be. There are still some nay-sayers out there, though.
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#29 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 3:48 pm

Who's to say all these deaths are from Stan and Stan alone? There was another system in the Pacific that moved into the Gulf of Tehuantepec that I think caused at least some of the flooding.

Also, the most recent article on Yahoo News about this states a death toll of 500, with 337 missing.
0 likes   

User avatar
gilbert88
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:57 pm

#30 Postby gilbert88 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 3:51 pm

mtm4319 wrote:Who's to say all these deaths are from Stan and Stan alone? There was another system in the Pacific that moved into the Gulf of Tehuantepec that I think caused at least some of the flooding.


What difference does it make?
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#31 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 3:56 pm

gilbert88 wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:Who's to say all these deaths are from Stan and Stan alone? There was another system in the Pacific that moved into the Gulf of Tehuantepec that I think caused at least some of the flooding.


What difference does it make?


If the primary cause of the mudslides was just tropical moisture, with very little influence from Stan, then retirement would be questionable. The Yahoo news article states that "Guatemala has borne the brunt of heavy rains exacerbated by Hurricane Stan". I still think it will be retired though.
0 likes   

User avatar
gilbert88
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:57 pm

#32 Postby gilbert88 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 3:57 pm

mtm4319 wrote:
gilbert88 wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:Who's to say all these deaths are from Stan and Stan alone? There was another system in the Pacific that moved into the Gulf of Tehuantepec that I think caused at least some of the flooding.


What difference does it make?


If the primary cause of the mudslides was just tropical moisture, with very little influence from Stan, then retirement would be questionable. The Yahoo news article states that "Guatemala has borne the brunt of heavy rains exacerbated by Hurricane Stan". I still think it will be retired though.


In that (very unlikely IMHO) case, Stan would be retired for deaths and damage in Mexico alone.
0 likes   

markymark8
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 111
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 11:57 am
Location: North Carolina

#33 Postby markymark8 » Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:18 pm

This is awful. What gets me though is how quick they are getting their body counts compared to Hurricane Katrinas. This does not make any sense!!! Why are we so slow???
0 likes   

User avatar
Persepone
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 755
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:32 pm
Location: Cape Cod, MA
Contact:

#34 Postby Persepone » Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:22 pm

Does anyone have a link or source for ANY news from IPALA, Guatemala?

Need to know about someone who lives there... Can't find any news!

It is "near" Chiquimula.

Please send any information you might have in English or Spanish (or French in unlikely event you have information in that language)

Thanks.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#35 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:24 pm

Persepone wrote:Does anyone have a link or source for ANY news from IPALA, Guatemala?

Need to know about someone who lives there... Can't find any news!

It is "near" Chiquimula.

Please send any information you might have in English or Spanish (or French in unlikely event you have information in that language)

Thanks.


Spanish news from Guatemala.
:darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:

http://www.lahora.com.gt/05/10/08/index.html
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Persepone
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 755
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 9:32 pm
Location: Cape Cod, MA
Contact:

#36 Postby Persepone » Sat Oct 08, 2005 5:12 pm

Thanks Cycloneye... the photos on Prensa Libre (link from the page you sent) are pretty amazing--but still looking for that one village (and ultimately a face in a photo....)
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#37 Postby WindRunner » Sat Oct 08, 2005 5:23 pm

mtm4319 wrote:
gilbert88 wrote:
mtm4319 wrote:Who's to say all these deaths are from Stan and Stan alone? There was another system in the Pacific that moved into the Gulf of Tehuantepec that I think caused at least some of the flooding.


What difference does it make?


If the primary cause of the mudslides was just tropical moisture, with very little influence from Stan, then retirement would be questionable. The Yahoo news article states that "Guatemala has borne the brunt of heavy rains exacerbated by Hurricane Stan". I still think it will be retired though.


Especially since that disturbance is where Stan went after crossing over Mexico. He provided a great bit of energy to 90E.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#38 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 08, 2005 5:48 pm

I believe that disturbance was primarily with Stan's moisture(remember the flareup in the NW Caribbean started that way too). So even if it's responsible, if Stan had never been there, it likely wouldn't have happened.
0 likes   
#neversummer

bombarderoazul
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 186
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:12 pm

#39 Postby bombarderoazul » Sun Oct 09, 2005 1:05 am

markymark8 wrote:This is awful. What gets me though is how quick they are getting their body counts compared to Hurricane Katrinas. This does not make any sense!!! Why are we so slow???


The US goverment does the same in Iraq, in reality more soldiers die on average per day, but the casualty count grows very slow so as not to cause the us population to criticize the goverment.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: kevin and 58 guests