Large Flareup of Convection in SW Caribbean

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cycloneye
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#21 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 04, 2005 5:48 am

ABNT20 KNHC 041020
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EST FRI NOV 4 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE ADJACENT LAND AREAS.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH

5:30 AM EST TWO.

wxman_91 I edited the title to take out Honduras and include SW Caribbean.
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cycloneye
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#22 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 04, 2005 7:44 am

Image

At least one global model NOGAPS shows a very small hint of something in the SW Caribbean in 144 hours.I would like to see more models showing something in this area to then be more enthusiastic about it.
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#23 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Fri Nov 04, 2005 7:55 am

Looks just like an area of a blob of convection.
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#24 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:34 am

this is the area to watch this time of year, just disorganized right now, but if it persists, it may try to get its act together
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#25 Postby wxmann_91 » Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:59 am

cycloneye wrote:wxman_91 I edited the title to take out Honduras and include SW Caribbean.


Thanks cycloneye. :wink:

The deep convection east of Nicaragua has persisted over 12 hours. In addition, an upper-level anticyclone has developed over it. Conditions look favorable for a TD to develop within the next 48 hours it seems.
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CHRISTY

#26 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Nov 04, 2005 10:45 am

Image
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#27 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 04, 2005 1:26 pm

THE TRADES HAVE PICKED UP TO
NEAR AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL LEVELS WITH A MORE
WINTERTIME REGIME TRYING TO ESTABLISH ITSELF. A COMBINATION OF
THE ITCZ AND A WAVE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN IS LEAVING THAT AREA
UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS BUT LARGE-SCALE CONDITIONS DON'T
APPEAR TO BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.

1:05 PM EST discussion.

Not so fast folks.
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 04, 2005 5:12 pm

831
ABNT20 KNHC 042150
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST FRI NOV 4 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

:blowup:
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#29 Postby fuzzyblow » Fri Nov 04, 2005 8:42 pm

Not much convec but it's like spin...nig ... Bon bien merde alors on s'en passera, mais... :Toilet:
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#30 Postby tropicana » Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:21 pm

This will be the first quiet weekend on the tropical weather front (in the Atlantic basin at least) in months.
YAY

8-)
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#31 Postby Rainband » Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:31 pm

tropicana wrote:This will be the first quiet weekend on the tropical weather front (in the Atlantic basin at least) in months.
YAY

8-)
dittooooooooooooooo
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#32 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Fri Nov 04, 2005 11:18 pm

goodie. :D
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#33 Postby gatorcane » Fri Nov 04, 2005 11:45 pm

it's over! 2005 appears to be done... :D
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#34 Postby fasterdisaster » Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:26 am

boca_chris wrote:it's over! 2005 appears to be done... :D

Oh great now you jinxed us all.
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#35 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Nov 05, 2005 8:55 am

yep looks to me like the most incredible hurricane season is about over.....winter weather pattern taken place.i'll be waiting for the 2006 season to see if this season has a part 2.WOW WHAT A SEASON!!!
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#36 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Nov 05, 2005 9:24 am

Thank goodness!! Don't let your guards down though. We just got an estimate for our roof....not too bad...under a thousand...now let's see how long it will take to get those barrel tiles replaced....ugh!!!!
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#37 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Nov 05, 2005 9:30 am

tropicana wrote:This will be the first quiet weekend on the tropical weather front (in the Atlantic basin at least) in months.
YAY

8-)


boca_chris wrote:it's over! 2005 appears to be done...


SSSSSHHHHH!!!!!!! THEY'LL HEAR YOU!!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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