Post Your Pre-poll Prediction 2006 Numbers Here

[WindRunner]

Holding steady at 17/9/4.

[jabber]

18/8/3

[MiamiensisWx]

*BUMP*

[StormScanWx]

Not my 'official' forecast numbers, but I'm thinking

18 Named Tropical Systems
10 Hurricanes
5 Major Hurricanes

[Opal storm]

19 named storms
9 hurricanes
5 major hurricanes

[Jim Cantore]

17 Named storms
9 Hurricanes
5 Major Hurricanes

I will likely increase it as the season approches

[Pearl River]

18 / 10 / 7

[MiamiensisWx]

*BUMP*

Anyone can change their numbers or post new ones here before the official poll arrives on March 15! Don't be shy!

[hookemfins]

Prelim


17/10/4

[skysummit]

44 WAVES

23 DEPRESSIONS

19 NAMED STORMS

10 CANES

5 MAJORS

1 SUBTROPICAL

[cycloneye]

As CapeVerdeWave said you can post numbers here in a preliminary way but the real thing with start on March 15 with the official storm2k forecast numbers poll where I may be thinking of a prize for those who come the most close to what the 2006 season will be at the end.

[vbhoutex]

19/11/8 We've had others, but I don't remember what I said in them. This is my current preliminary no's.

[TheEuropean]

19/12/5

My numbers will be updated in march and again in may.

[HURAKAN]

20/11/5

[cycloneye]

My preliminary numbers are 16/8/4.

Remember that the official poll will start at March 15 so you can modify the numbers that you have at this time for later in the official poll.

[cheezyWXguy]

I think:

18-21 storms, 1-2 being subtropical
8-12 hurricanes
5-8 being major
with 1-3 as CAT 5's

[Tstormwatcher]

21/15/7

[wxman57]

44 WAVES

23 DEPRESSIONS

19 NAMED STORMS

10 CANES

5 MAJORS

1 SUBTROPICAL

FYI, I kept track of all waves and other non-wave disturbances from the 3rd week of May through December. The total was 64 waves and disturbances. Of those 64, 30 reached at least TD status, a little over 45%. Over 100 waves/disturbances (as it looks like you're saying) would be quite an increase over 2005.

Interesting how many people are predicting numbers in the 20s. It's been estimated that the 2005 season was a 1 in 200 year event. The key for 2006 will be Caribbean Sea pressures and wind shear. Last year, what resembled a monsoonal trof set up in the central to western Caribbean, providing the focus for a great deal of development. It would take something similar to that in 2006 for more than about 15-16 storms to develop. Too early to say for sure, but cooling eastern Pacific temps would favor a stronger Bermuda high and increaed shear across the Caribbean.

[P.K.]

My guess last year was 15/8/4 so it won't be lower than that for this season unless something drastic happens.

[AL Chili Pepper]

I think last year was the mother of all hurricane seasons, and will remain that. I don't think we'll ever see another one like it in our lifetimes.

16/11/4