TD One-E,Advisories,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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HurricaneHunter914
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#21 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 27, 2006 10:13 am

Still has good convection though.
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#22 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 27, 2006 10:20 am

Aquawind wrote:Close up loop looks like it is lopsided in terms of deep convection.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html


Look closely at the Atlantic. There is a system spinning CLOCK-WISE. Is that normal?
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#23 Postby vbhoutex » Sat May 27, 2006 10:27 am

The center of the circulation is still half exposed. However, if the deep convection continues to attempt to wrap like it appears to be and the shear relaxes a littlewe should have our first EPAC system within 24 hours.
Last edited by vbhoutex on Sat May 27, 2006 10:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#24 Postby x-y-no » Sat May 27, 2006 10:32 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/vis-l.jpg
I have no idea why you guys say the center is exposed, it looks like convection is covering it 100%. They need to put a Floater on TD One-E.


The LLC is about a degree or a tad more west of the strong convection at 15N 100W. (advisory puts it at 15.1N 101.3W, and that looks about right to me).
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#25 Postby x-y-no » Sat May 27, 2006 10:33 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:
Aquawind wrote:Close up loop looks like it is lopsided in terms of deep convection.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html


Look closely at the Atlantic. There is a system spinning CLOCK-WISE. Is that normal?


Only clockwise rotation I see is the Bermuda High. Is that what you're looking at?
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#26 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 27, 2006 10:35 am

Oh yeah that's it, is it normal for a Clock-Wise rotation in the Northern Hemisphere?
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#27 Postby x-y-no » Sat May 27, 2006 10:38 am

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Oh yeah that's it, is it normal for a Clock-Wise rotation in the Northern Hemisphere?


For a high, yes.


BTW, RAMSDIS has a good closeup view, or you can zoom in on the GHCC site, set quality to 100% and zoom factor to high and click on storm in the image to load the loop.
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#28 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat May 27, 2006 10:49 am

Looks like we may have Aletta right now, or at least be very close...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/rgb-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/rb-l.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/ir4-l.jpg

In addition, shear is decreasing over it. I think we may well have Aletta...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8sht.html
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Sat May 27, 2006 10:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#29 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat May 27, 2006 10:52 am

That looks very well organized. The only question is - are the winds 40 mph or more?
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#30 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sat May 27, 2006 10:53 am

Does anyone have a link to the latest QUICKSCAT?
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#31 Postby tailgater » Sat May 27, 2006 11:21 am

CapeVerdeWave wrote:Does anyone have a link to the latest QUICKSCAT?
http://152.80.49.216/tc-bin/tc_display. ... STORM_NAME
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#32 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 27, 2006 11:51 am

Center is partly exposed, but if Arlene was a Tropical Storm with a very bad SAT presentation, then this thing should be too.
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#33 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat May 27, 2006 12:02 pm

Since I'm not an early bird on the weekend, I just now saw this. TD One-E gets the EPAC on the scoreboard with the early lead. No worries; the Atlantic will get things going soon.
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#34 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 27, 2006 12:04 pm

Where is the 11:00 A.M Advisory?
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#35 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Sat May 27, 2006 12:07 pm

I also just noticed the new TWC tracking maps for this season. Very nice. The addition of the latitude lines are great, and the satellite view of land is really cool.

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/pt ... 20x486.jpg
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#36 Postby Coredesat » Sat May 27, 2006 12:27 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Where is the 11:00 A.M Advisory?


They timestamp the EPAC advisories in Pacific Time, not Eastern Time. The 11 AM EDT advisory was the 8 AM PDT advisory.
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#37 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat May 27, 2006 12:31 pm

Oh yeah I remember it's just been a while since I've seen the EPAC Advisories.
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#38 Postby StormScanWx » Sat May 27, 2006 12:38 pm

New Intermediate Advisory coming out in about 22 minutes.

02 PM EDT
01 PM CDT
12 PM MDT
11 AM PDT

Will Tropical Depression One-E become Tropical Storm Aletta?
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#39 Postby whereverwx » Sat May 27, 2006 12:40 pm

Aww... it's so small... lol

Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image
Last edited by whereverwx on Sat May 27, 2006 12:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#40 Postby tailgater » Sat May 27, 2006 12:49 pm

StormScanWx wrote:New Intermediate Advisory coming out in about 22 minutes.

02 PM EDT
01 PM CDT
12 PM MDT
11 AM PDT

Will Tropical Depression One-E become Tropical Storm Aletta?

My guess as to the new postion is 15.5 N and 100.8 W and still a T.D.
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