92L invest MidAtlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

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Aquawind
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#21 Postby Aquawind » Sat Jun 24, 2006 8:38 am

NRL is way different in location..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/WATL_latest.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/avn-l.jpg
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#22 Postby P.K. » Sat Jun 24, 2006 8:51 am

It appears to be the trough feature shown on the NWS charts. (Select NWS and then the gross or klein options for the Atlantic.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsfaxsem.html
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#23 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:02 am

How tropical is this low?
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#24 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:06 am

more tropical than 91L!!!!!!!!!
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#25 Postby Emmett_Brown » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:11 am

Not very tropical yet... this is an upper level low digging to the surface... cold core to begin with.
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:21 am

Before anyone gets excited, what potential does this system have on becoming a subtropical or tropical system?
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#27 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:23 am

I'm looking into that..I say its become more subtropical in could be by this afternoon.
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#28 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:38 am

strange how the NHC hasnt mentioned it yet. mabey at the 11:30 TWO in about an hour from now...
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#29 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:49 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:strange how the NHC hasnt mentioned it yet. mabey at the 11:30 TWO in about an hour from now...


They will probably mention it in the TWO
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#30 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:50 am

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

European,backup NRL site adjusted the pressure up to 1019 mbs.
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#31 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:51 am

:uarrow: Almost a high pressure system :uarrow: !!!
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#32 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 9:59 am

This is a questionable Invest. I don't see much chance of development out of this.
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#33 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:04 am

CrazyC83 wrote:This is a questionable Invest. I don't see much chance of development out of this.


Agree. The convection is very shallow and the system is located in an area not very favorable, climatologically speaking, for development.
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#34 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:05 am

I know there are members who like to look at past history of climotology and formation of named storms in the past centuries can find the answer to my question.My question is,where 92L is now is there haved tropical or subtropical storm formation in June? Of course the question is apart from Ana in 2003 which formed a little west from where 92L is.
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#35 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:17 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 241515
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT JUN 24 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED JUST NORTHEAST OF GREAT
ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED
SHOWER ACTIVITY ARE POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THIS
SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELED. ANOTHER
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY...IF
NECESSARY.

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT
900 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#36 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:17 am

ABNT20 KNHC 241515
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT JUN 24 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...


SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT
900 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.

$$

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#37 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:31 am

Isn't it strange for a system in this area of the North Atlantic to be moving WNW, rather than ENE? Could it be a block again?
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#38 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jun 24, 2006 10:55 am

The Weather Channel tried to talk about this system but they talked about the system north of Puerto Rico. BAD REFERENCE!!!

In the image they showed you could see 92L in the NE side and they talking about something else. The Weather Channel style!!!
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#39 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:04 am

The only June tropical system I can find that formed remotely close to where 92L is now is Arlene 1999:

formed 06/11/99 27.1N 58.1W
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at199901.asp
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#40 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jun 24, 2006 11:19 am

If the convection keeps forming it should be upgraded to a subtroical system by tomarrow.
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