91L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[Frank P]

for a look see via a radar presentation just go to the following web page, click on Bahamas radar, then click on Nexrad Mosaic Animation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/analysis.1kmvis.html

the circulation is certainly visible on the radar loops....

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT JUN 24 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE JUST EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION HAS DIMINISHED. NEVERTHELESS...THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED AND...IF NECESSARY...AN AIR FORCE
PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA ON SUNDAY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

[ronjon]

where does everyone else here think it will end up making landfall on/in???

Whatever forms is drifting west - won't have much time over water to develop a lot.

[ronjon]

for a look see via a radar presentation just go to the following web page, click on Bahamas radar, then click on Nexrad Mosaic Animation...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/analysis.1kmvis.html

the circulation is certainly visible on the radar loops....

I'm with ya Frank. Cool link!

[Vortex]

Frank..great catch. thanks for sharing!

[cpdaman]

maybe i'm a little slow but can't really make out the llC anymore (half hour ago looked like maybe off WEST palm now on that bahama radar looks like maybe forming around/off west end of GRAND BAHAMA island

if so it would give it more time over water

[Stormcenter]

I see a new burst of convection developing around the "possible" of low pressure.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[gatorcane]

I see a new burst of convection developing around the "possible" of low pressure.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

It's over the Gulf stream that is why we are seeing it. I expected this from my earlier predictions. Now let's see just how much convection fires now that we are moving into the diurnal phase.

[gatorcane]

There is some serious rain and squalls headed for south florida folks - check out the latest radar - it's coming our way too you can thank the warm Gulf stream current for this, should see it by late night starting about 2AM along the coast from W. Palm Beach south.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

So lets see

1# a Distrabance maybe even a weak depression moves into texas earlier this month. Reasoning had good convetion and a strong MLC possible LLC.

2# Alberto hits florida maxs out at 70 knots.

3# tropical distrabance 91L about ready to hit Florida with heavy rain.

4# Tropical distrabance 92L starting to form into a subtropical storm.

[gatorcane]

So lets see

1# a Distrabance maybe even a weak depression moves into texas earlier this month. Reasoning had good convetion and a strong MLC possible LLC.

2# Alberto hits florida maxs out at 70 knots.

3# tropical distrabance 91L about ready to hit Florida with heavy rain.

4# Tropical distrabance 92L starting to form into a subtropical storm.

It doesn't look good for later - it is only June.

[gatorcane]

Let's also add:

#5 Suspicious area north of Puerto Rico is showing good convection this evening

#6 A surface low pressure area is expected to form at a low lattitude east of the NE Coast of South America and is expected to move West.

[gatorcane]

what ever happened with 91L turning NW - sure looks to be a South Florida to East central Florida hit to me right now.

[HURAKAN]

[quote="Matt-hurricanewatcher"]2# Alberto hits florida maxs out at 70 knots.[quote]

Just a minor change, knots to mph!!!

[cpdaman]

uh man this stupid ( wave/ trough "storm" gets me excited everytime it does something, then i come to my senses and realize it is not even a storm ( guys there must be a bunch of other people on this board amused by everyone including me who gets exicted over a little flare up of T'storms)


p.s wouldn't it be cool if it started banding and overnite started to develop quickly while stalled over 84 degree water, nahh never happen

looks better with the long range miami radar if u squint u can start to see banding features trying to form at least that's what i am trying to convince myself

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[HURAKAN]

THE NHC SAYS "91L, YOUR TRAIN HAS DEPARTED & YOU DIDN'T CATCH IT!"

[gatorcane]

here we go folks - look at that map!!! It should move W and then WSW as the Bermuda High really gets firm control over the entire West Atlantic

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The 2006 season is starting to fire its engines up.

[Jim Cantore]

Florida needs rain, hopefully it hits as a weak TS/TD and gives them a good rain.

[Ivan14]

Will this thing go into the Gulf?