TS Ernesto #9 Sat pics, models,analysis thread

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HouTXmetro
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#21 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:06 am

AM I the only who is glued to the computer waiting for every update? When is the next model suite? :lol:
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Yankeegirl
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#22 Postby Yankeegirl » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:07 am

I am glued to it too... but i am getting tired
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#23 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:07 am

Bailey1777 wrote:Derek same question please do you see the front making it to the coast?


That might be a better question to ask in the Tropical Analysis forum -
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=88761
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#24 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:07 am

I'm afraid we are in for a loooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooong next week. Good night folks. :D
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#25 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:08 am

LOL at trying to get the mets to go on record. :D
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fci
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#26 Postby fci » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:08 am

Derek Ortt wrote:plus, Ernesto is moving at about 280

on this heading, it passes south of Jamaica, putting it left of the model forecast points


Jamaica does seem to have the tendency to dodge bullets.
Hope they do this time again.
Last edited by fci on Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#27 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:09 am

Derek Ortt wrote:plus, Ernesto is moving at about 280

on this heading, it passes south of Jamaica, putting it left of the model forecast points


cool. That is awesome news for Jamaica, but bad news in the sense that it perhaps may go through the channel as opposed to weaken every so slightly over Cuba. This doesn't look good for the Gulf IF it continues to develop. As much as I was rooting for a Mexico landfall, that's looking less and less likely now unfortunately....
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#28 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:09 am

No he was here so I tried to get an answer real quick that alot of people have an intrest in.
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#29 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:13 am

Im glued to this too....I have to leave for work in about 4 hours or so....LOL
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#30 Postby Brandon007 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:13 am

ahhhhh yea son ahhhhhh yea, i smell a hurricane cooking lol, anyone know what the forcast intensity is?
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#31 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:13 am

if the front waits until Friday, the only thing it will cause is severe inland flooding
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#32 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:15 am

But do you see it causing the weakness the models are depicting?
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#33 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:15 am

Derek Ortt wrote:if the front waits until Friday, the only thing it will cause is severe inland flooding


I'm confused. What do you mean?
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#34 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:15 am

Derek Ortt wrote:if the front waits until Friday, the only thing it will cause is severe inland flooding


I'm confused??Will the fron cause flooding? maybe we should give him a break. I know he is tired. :lol:
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#35 Postby Brandon007 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:16 am

I saw on the news that this is currently forecast to hit in the LA/MS area is this what you guys think or are they just hyping it because of last year
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#36 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:17 am

ernesto will be inland by next friday

the storm would interact with the front, and we all know how much flooding that causes
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#37 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:18 am

Oh. Okay. I see what you mean now.
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Bailey1777
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#38 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:18 am

They are jumping the gun. Even when this gets to the Gulf there will be a large margin of error.
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#39 Postby Brandon007 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:20 am

thats what i figured the media tends to hype everything
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#40 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:20 am

Thanks Derek get some rest man.
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