TD Ernesto Satellite,Analysis and Models Thread #8

[gtalum]

Did we finally get past the GOM predictions?

[westmoon]

what are the chances of this storm not making it out of Florida?

[sweetpea]

Looks like he is boiling now.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... geflt.html

[tolakram]

http://tinyurl.com/kbfch

I think this radar loop is showing the center quite nicely.

[Flakeys]

Just watched Max Mayfield call this a dud on channel 10. I'm in Tavernier and we have no wind and some great downpours.

[Windsurfer_NYC]

Winds at the lower and middle keys have started to back around to NW-NNW. Center looks to pass between Long Key and Molasses Reef C-mans, head across Florida Bay with a Glades landfall east of the Flamingo fish camp.

lol, Flamingo fish camp? I'm not familiar with FL... where is that (lat/long)?

http://tinyurl.com/zam9g

Cool, thanks. I also tracked it down via the Everglades National Park: Flamingo Visitor Center

[Ground_Zero_92]

This is off topic but what does it mean to be a S2K Supporter?

I always see this but i dont know what it means....

Members that have donated money to help with the upkeep of this site get a S2K Supporter Badge.

[Extremeweatherguy]

found a good weather station from Lauderhill, FL (near Miami). So far it looks like top gusts today have been in the lower 30s. It will be interesting to see what the winds do as the storm moves onshore:

http://www.weatherunderground.com/weath ... =KFLLAUDE2

[westmoon]

Extremeweatherguy,
great link thanks for sharing


here is key largo


[url][url]http://www.weatherunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLKEYLA2[/url][/url]

[Trugunzn]

Looks like finally trying to wrap convection, but looks to be toooooo late.

[SunnyThoughts]

Sweetpea...thanks for that link...awfully fast blow up there. Not sure it means much in the long run...great visual though.

[storms in NC]

What be the chances of this be half on land and half over water up the coast? I know not going to happen just A thought

[cinlfla]

I read on one of these threads that Ernesto is being sheared again I don't see anything out there to shear it where is it coming from?

[HeatherAKC]

*CBS4 just reported a fatality in an weather related auto accident on 836.

*2 elderly women were air-lifted to a local hospital this afternoon after their aluminum hurricane shutters toppled on top of them.

Point? This is a big deal in some South Florida homes this evening.

[Stormavoider]

Looks like finally trying to wrap convection, but looks to be toooooo late.

Intensification can still continue over the glades and Okeechobee.

[THead]

So we will actually get something more than this? Will we even get any wind since there doesn't appear to be any convection on the east/southeast side anymore

I would be expecting you to get the best Ernie's got, which isn't much right now. It'll be a good dvd/movie night, then good sleepin weather.

[tgenius]

Will there actually be wrapped around convection coming into Miami? We're gotten a whole .2 inches

[cinlfla]

Looks like finally trying to wrap convection, but looks to be toooooo late.

Intensification can still continue over the glades and Okeechobee.

Yes I've heard of this happaning before I just don't know with which storm

[skufful]

*CBS4 just reported a fatality in an weather related auto accident on 836.

*2 elderly women were air-lifted to a local hospital this afternoon after their aluminum hurricane shutters toppled on top of them.

Point? This is a big deal in some South Florida homes this evening.

I think it's a little ridiculous to call those hurricane related deaths.

[Stormavoider]

Looks like finally trying to wrap convection, but looks to be toooooo late.

Intensification can still continue over the glades and Okeechobee.

Yes I've heard of this happaning before I just don't know with which storm

I think it was Katrina?