Invest 98L South of Azores,Models,Sat Pics,And Discussions

#21 Postby **TheEuropean** » Mon Oct 02, 2006 8:25 pm

NRL now with winds to 35 kts.

#22 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Oct 02, 2006 9:32 pm

403
ABNT20 KNHC 030229
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT MON OCT 2 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS
MINIMAL. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED IN THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS.
WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD SLOWLY ACQUIRE SOME TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES VERY
LITTLE...SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

Epsilon_Fan · #23 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Mon Oct 02, 2006 11:11 pm

it's that time of year again... when the extra-tropical lows come on down... let Epsilon season begin

I'd say this one becomes our next TC

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #24 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Oct 02, 2006 11:30 pm

Looking good tonight. Starting to cut off from the frontall sysem, expect this to turn subtropical, with extratropical convection. Already on its way!

Come on JOYCE!

#25 Postby **curtadams** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 1:42 am

The models all predict right now is basically the peak of the invest and that it will begin deteriorating in strength, tropical characteristics, or both. Only NOGAPS predict more than 4 more days, and that's as a pretty ordinary extratropical system.

#26 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 6:07 am

Not looking very good right now.

#27 Postby **P.K.** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 6:09 am

Looks to me like the NRL still has the 0000 GMT position with no update for 0600 GMT?

Weather bulletin for METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE,
Toulouse, Tuesday 3 October 2006 at 09 UTC.

- Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE - Sea : Total significant -
- Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger
than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice
the significant height.

Part 1 : WARNING : 448

Part 2 : General synopsis, Tuesday 3 at 00 UTC

Low 1001 over southeast CANTABRICO, quickly moving northeast and
deepening.
Thundery low 1008 30N32W, slowly moving northwest, expected 32N34W
by 4/12UTC.
Complex low 999 over Newfoundland Islands, moving east, expected
993 51N41W by 4/12UTC. associated trough extending eastwards.
High 1027 40W40N, moving southeast, expected 37N17W by 4/12UTC.

AN EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR
9N33W MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT.
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 46W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING
WEST 10 TO 15 KT.
10N12W 8N21W 9N32W 8N36W 8N40W 9N45W 9N48W 9N54W 10N62W.

#28 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 7:08 am

Floater #2 is over 98L.

Chacor · #29 Postby **Chacor** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 8:56 am

03/1145 UTC 30.1N 30.6W ST1.5/1.5 98L -- Atlantic Ocean
From the SSD TC position/intensity page. Does seem to have moved northwest.

Coredesat · #30 Postby **Coredesat** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 9:34 am

Definitely appears to have become more elongated overnight. I'm not sure this low has a chance to become Joyce anymore.

#31 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 9:52 am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 031447
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT TUE OCT 3 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS IS SHOWING NO SIGNS OF
ACQUIRING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

$$

Epsilon_Fan · #32 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 3:46 pm

damn, it fizzled... oh well, there will be more of these as we get into October

WindRunner · #33 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 4:57 pm

And nothing in the 5:30pm TWO . . . though they did somehow have to correct a two-line statement :roll:

ABNT20 KNHC 032116
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE OCT 3 2006

...CORRECTED SECOND SENTENCE...

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

#34 Postby **P.K.** » Tue Oct 03, 2006 5:01 pm

Weather bulletin for METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE
Toulouse, Tuesday 3 October 2006 at 21 UTC.

- Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE - Sea : Total significant -
- Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger
than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice
the significant height.

Part 1 : WARNING : nr 449

Part 2 : General synopsis, Tuesday 3 at 12 UTC

Low 995 over France quickly moving northeast. Associated thundery
squally weather in Bay of Biscay.
Thundery low 1011 over IRVING slowly moving northwest, expected
1014 33N35W by 04/12UTC then filling.
Complex low (ex ISAAC) 1000 just east Newfoundland moving
east/northeast, expected 993 52N40W by 04/12UTC then 995 53N33W by
05/00UTC. Associated disturbance crossing FARADAY and ALTAIR.
High 1025 near 40W30N drifting southeast, expected 1028 over
JOSEPHINE by 04/12UTC then with little change.

A 1010 low is centered near 11N36W moving West/Northwest near 10kt.
Axis of ITCZ along 9N13W 5N28W 8N39W.

Invest 98L South of Azores,Models,Sat Pics,And Discussions

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