Tropical Depression Barry Main Thread

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tampastorm
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#21 Postby tampastorm » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:49 pm

I will say you never know, I know Barry does not suppose to get much stronger. But who thought it would be a TS at this point.
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#22 Postby x-y-no » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:49 pm

feederband wrote:Any guesses yet on how stong it might become?


If that convection keeps going through the night I think it strengthens some, but probably not hurricane strength.
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#23 Postby windstorm99 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:50 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:This is among the few times that we have seen two tropical storms by June 1. Only two years (1887 and 1908) featured two tropical cyclones that formed by June 1. This is impressive. In addition, it puts 2007 on a current pace with 2005, 1933, and other above average years.


Some impressive company...
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#24 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:50 pm

:woo:

What a start to the season!!

:rain: beautiful

Thanks Barry! :notworthy:
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#25 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:51 pm

LinkLink

EDIT: Changed bad img tags to URL links -senorpepr
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#26 Postby feederband » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:51 pm

x-y-no wrote:
feederband wrote:Any guesses yet on how stong it might become?


If that convection keeps going through the night I think it strengthens some, but probably not hurricane strength.


Yeah 24 hours is along time if it stayed under that convection...
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#27 Postby Opal storm » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:53 pm

x-y-no wrote:
feederband wrote:Any guesses yet on how stong it might become?


If that convection keeps going through the night I think it strengthens some, but probably not hurricane strength.
If it follows the NHC track Barry will be running into dry air and much cooler SSTs, IMO it could actually weaken.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/con ... .track.png
Last edited by Opal storm on Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#28 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:54 pm

According to the data, if the C storm occurs within 10 days, this season will see the most rapid pace for early development to the 3rd named system in history.
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#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:54 pm

I think Andrea should of been named subtropical because they found that it was. But it really deserved it a day after they killed it off.

This looks good to.
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#30 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:54 pm

I smell Shear..I think were at our strongest, give or take a few MPH
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#31 Postby x-y-no » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:55 pm

Opal storm wrote:
x-y-no wrote:
feederband wrote:Any guesses yet on how stong it might become?


If that convection keeps going through the night I think it strengthens some, but probably not hurricane strength.
If it follows the NHC track Barry will be running into dry air and much cooler SSTs, IMO it could actually weaken.


Well, I've been burned by the GFS many times before, but I'm thinking a somewhat more easterly track. We'll see ...
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#32 Postby Stratusxpeye » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:55 pm

So does this become part of the theory of drought in florida brings tropical activity?
I believe there was a thread discussing this over the past few weeks. I can't believe it's raining. My poor brown dust/dirt grass may become green :) Thank you barry!
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#33 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:56 pm

shear does not hur the system if it is going the same way as the shear.
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#34 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:56 pm

heard the news on the radio on my way home to work....what a start to the season!
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#35 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:56 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:I smell Shear..I think were at our strongest, give or take a few MPH


Me too. The Loop Current could help keep it alive, but it will be hard-pressed to move up the intensity charts. I think it has been a tropical depression since yesterday.
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#36 Postby Opal storm » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:56 pm

x-y-no wrote:
Opal storm wrote:
x-y-no wrote:
feederband wrote:Any guesses yet on how stong it might become?


If that convection keeps going through the night I think it strengthens some, but probably not hurricane strength.
If it follows the NHC track Barry will be running into dry air and much cooler SSTs, IMO it could actually weaken.


Well, I've been burned by the GFS many times before, but I'm thinking a somewhat more easterly track. We'll see ...

Yeah, if it heads more NE/ENE it will be in better shape I agree. I too think the NHC is too far north.
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#37 Postby KatDaddy » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:56 pm

Wow! TS Barry forms. Man we are off to a crazy season!!
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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#38 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:57 pm

Stratusxpeye wrote:So does this become part of the theory of drought in florida brings tropical activity?
I believe there was a thread discussing this over the past few weeks. I can't believe it's raining. My poor brown dust/dirt grass may become green :) Thank you barry!


I'd rather see 30 Andreas or Barrys (with the odd fish-spinning major hurricane thrown in) than one Katrina amidst a season of nothing else!
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#39 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:58 pm

fact789 wrote:shear does not hur the system if it is going the same way as the shear.


Its giving him a haircut as we speak...Were only talking about another 18hrs over water anyways.
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#40 Postby txwatcher91 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 3:58 pm

fact789 wrote:shear does not hur the system if it is going the same way as the shear.


Completely true, and now the center appears to have "jumped" under the latest ball of convection.
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