Atlantic INVEST 93L: W Africa

[Berwick Bay]

It is very impressive looking, and it is incredible to have an invest that far out, this early in the season. But I tend to agree with Mike W. on this one. Actually, I would give it about a 20% chance of becoming the next storm. Here's why. It still looks like more of a mid-level system. It could work its way down to the surface, but at this time of the season, I think thats unlikely. Water temps not quite where they will be in about 4-6 weeks, and I would expect the very broad center of circulation to have a difficult time in "closing up" and developing a true low level center. Wouldn't be surprised to see the system sort of "split in two" with some of the energy heading a little more north and beginning to "out race" the other piece. But we'll see.

[MusicCityMan]

Only the 9th day of the season and we may already have a Chantal wanna be.. It's probably way too early though to wonder if it'd make it all the way across..

[feederband]

I'm thinking the previous topic came first...


We really need to decide on posting in ONE topic here people, a mod should come and lock this topic.


No offense to the topic creator.

Usally they start a new thread when it gets up graded like to 93l...

[Chacor]

I'm thinking the previous topic came first...


We really need to decide on posting in ONE topic here people, a mod should come and lock this topic.


No offense to the topic creator.

The other topic was first created pre-INVEST. I thought the s2k rules are that a new thread for each invest, then again a new thread for each numbered depression. That's why I started this topic.

[Aric Dunn]

here are a couple decent loops.. they update faster every hour or so .. on this one .. also this one sectors 4 and 5 will give close ups but kind of cut in half .. but watch sector 4 in the upcoming day or so http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

this is also not a bad site every 3 hours but is very clear.. there is also a night visible under the visible.. on the left http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m16ir.html

[Weatherfreak000]

Oh, I see.


I understand that.

[x-y-no]

I'm thinking the previous topic came first...


We really need to decide on posting in ONE topic here people, a mod should come and lock this topic.


No offense to the topic creator.

The other topic was first created pre-INVEST. I thought the s2k rules are that a new thread for each invest, then again a new thread for each numbered depression. That's why I started this topic.

That's correct.

We'll make this the official Invest thread.

[Aric Dunn]

here are a couple decent loops.. they update faster every hour or so .. on this one .. also this one sectors 4 and 5 will give close ups but kind of cut in half .. but watch sector 4 in the upcoming day or so http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

this is also not a bad site every 3 hours but is very clear.. there is also a night visible under the visible.. on the left http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m16ir.html

sorry correction every two hours on that second link

[Weatherfreak000]

i'm sure the next TWO will likely conclude thunderstorms associated with the wave have increased this evening and mention the possibility for some slow development.

[Chacor]

We're about to find out, just half an hour away to the next TWO at 10:30.

[Aric Dunn]

there it is the 1030 TWO

269
ABNT20 KNHC 100201
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT JUN 9 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE...LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...IS MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS EVENING... AND SOME
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM
ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND COOLER WATER
TEMPERATURES.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

[Aric Dunn]

so there you go a complete turn around from the 530 ... TWO

[HURAKAN]

Now, sit and wait and watch every new satellite image.

[Aric Dunn]

Now, sit and wait and watch every new satellite image.

lol yeah .. use this site though .. its every hour..

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

[AnnularCane]

This is the most beautiful wave I've seen in a long time, but I never dreamed they'd make it an invest.

[Cyclenall]

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS EVENING... AND SOME
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM
ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND COOLER WATER
TEMPERATURES.

That's more like it!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The main thing to watch for is LLC development. If it becomes more defined and organized then we would of went a long ways in getting this upgraded.

[canes04]

This is amazing, we could have a TS tomorrow.
I think this is a sign of things to come.
They experts may need to up there numbers.

[Aric Dunn]

Now, sit and wait and watch every new satellite image.

lol yeah .. use this site though .. its every hour..

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

if your wondering what you looking at with this.. here is the description for the AIRMASS loop ..


AIRMASS The Airmass product is an RGB composite based upon data from infrared and water vapour channels from Meteosat Second Generation. It is designed and tuned to monitor the evolution of cyclones, in particular rapid cyclogenesis, jet streaks and PV (potential vorticity) anomalies. Due to the incorporation of the water vapour and ozone channels, its usage at high satellite viewing angles is limited.

[miamicanes177]

I give this a 70% chance of becoming Chantal