TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PDT FRI JUL 13 2007
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...BEFORE IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS
ON SUNDAY.
THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
A race against time.
Invest 97E
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- AnnularCane
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Re: Invest 97E=TCFA issued
Come on, little fella.
It would be nice to have one that is given more than a day or two to live.
It would be nice to have one that is given more than a day or two to live.
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WHXX01 KMIA 141241
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1241 UTC SAT JUL 14 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE (EP052007) 20070714 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070714 1200 070715 0000 070715 1200 070716 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 15.3N 114.3W 16.4N 116.7W 17.3N 119.1W 18.1N 121.7W
BAMD 15.3N 114.3W 15.9N 116.0W 16.3N 117.8W 16.7N 119.9W
BAMM 15.3N 114.3W 16.1N 116.6W 16.7N 119.1W 17.4N 121.8W
LBAR 15.3N 114.3W 15.9N 116.6W 16.5N 119.3W 17.3N 122.2W
SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 38KTS 40KTS
DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 38KTS 40KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070716 1200 070717 1200 070718 1200 070719 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.7N 124.5W 19.1N 130.0W 20.1N 134.9W 21.7N 137.7W
BAMD 17.1N 122.1W 18.3N 126.4W 19.3N 129.7W 19.9N 132.0W
BAMM 18.1N 124.6W 18.9N 130.3W 19.6N 135.7W 20.6N 140.1W
LBAR 17.9N 125.1W 19.3N 130.7W 20.7N 134.8W 21.1N 136.6W
SHIP 39KTS 30KTS 20KTS 0KTS
DSHP 39KTS 30KTS 20KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.3N LONCUR = 114.3W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 14.4N LONM12 = 112.0W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 13.7N LONM24 = 110.0W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
NNNN
WHXX01 KMIA 141241
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1241 UTC SAT JUL 14 2007
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE (EP052007) 20070714 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070714 1200 070715 0000 070715 1200 070716 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 15.3N 114.3W 16.4N 116.7W 17.3N 119.1W 18.1N 121.7W
BAMD 15.3N 114.3W 15.9N 116.0W 16.3N 117.8W 16.7N 119.9W
BAMM 15.3N 114.3W 16.1N 116.6W 16.7N 119.1W 17.4N 121.8W
LBAR 15.3N 114.3W 15.9N 116.6W 16.5N 119.3W 17.3N 122.2W
SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 38KTS 40KTS
DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 38KTS 40KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070716 1200 070717 1200 070718 1200 070719 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 18.7N 124.5W 19.1N 130.0W 20.1N 134.9W 21.7N 137.7W
BAMD 17.1N 122.1W 18.3N 126.4W 19.3N 129.7W 19.9N 132.0W
BAMM 18.1N 124.6W 18.9N 130.3W 19.6N 135.7W 20.6N 140.1W
LBAR 17.9N 125.1W 19.3N 130.7W 20.7N 134.8W 21.1N 136.6W
SHIP 39KTS 30KTS 20KTS 0KTS
DSHP 39KTS 30KTS 20KTS 0KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.3N LONCUR = 114.3W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 14.4N LONM12 = 112.0W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 13.7N LONM24 = 110.0W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
NNNN
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