Area North of Puerto Rico

[Jimsot]

Same thing here on Anguilla, rain over night and on and off all day at varying intensities, there certainly is a lot of energy out there. We are at about 2 inches since yesterday morning. Both my cisterns are full the sun can come out now!

[gerrit]

5:30 TWO

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL LOW...CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO HAS
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE DAY. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND SOME
FURTHER ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

[HURAKAN]

They don't say anything about future movement.

[msbee]

They don't say anything about future movement.

It's not moving
It's just sitting over us in the Northern Caribbean!

[flwxwatcher]

The way things have been going lately I in the believe it when I see it as far as development goes for any of these systems.

[Gustywind]

Same thing here on Anguilla, rain over night and on and off all day at varying intensities, there certainly is a lot of energy out there. We are at about 2 inches since yesterday morning. Both my cisterns are full the sun can come out now!

Same pattern here in Guadeloupe..and at 5pm very copious amounts of water ...big showers in our area showers and some ligthning with roaring of the thunder during the episode ...the sky is grey overcast very moist too...whereras the activity has lessen a bit...

[cycloneye]

The way things have been going lately I in the believe it when I see it as far as development goes for any of these systems.

That is true.When there is the first advisory issued,then I will believe it.However,this one looks like a good candidate.

[cycloneye]

Here in Puerto Rico,there haved been flash flood warnings issued for parts of the island.Some rivers are rising rapidly.Between 1-3 inches has fallen in interior,eastern and northern Puerto Rico.

[gerrit]

Here in Puerto Rico,there haved been flash flood warnings issued for parts of the island.Some rivers are rising rapidly.Between 1-3 inches has fallen in interior,eastern and northern Puerto Rico.

Yup, coming down steady here in mountains close to Las Piedras..

[BigA]

They don't say anything about future movement.

Accuweather seems to believe that it will move due-westward, but I am not so sure.

[AnnularCane]

Wait, I'm confused. Isn't this 92L?

[punkyg]

Wait, I'm confused. Isn't this 92L?

No 92l is between this and florida.

[Nimbus]

This area has not moved much since I saw it this morning. If anything it may have centered a little further west.
Strange that the most active area is not in the active forum? The high res IR sure looks like it is getting better organized.

[MiamiensisWx]

This area is a separate entity. The previous TWD mentioned a 1011 mb sfc low N of Puerto Rico. Additionally, I can see some nice UL cyclonic rotation - click here. Unlike 92L and TD 10, shear looks lower over this area, although there is a defined upper low (SW shear and UL divergence) dropping S per WV imagery. The upper low to the W doesn't appear to be a significant problem, although it has enhanced convection in the area. I still believe caution is a prudent decision. "I'll believe it when I see it." That's the 2007 theme. I'm very wary about developmental prospects when these sfc trough/upper low-induced "areas of interest" form in the W Atlantic and Caribbean - it's another "make or break" situation. 2007 has been singing the "break" tune for several systems. Humberto, Lorenzo, Dean, and Felix were some notable exceptions.

[cycloneye]

It is invest 93L.Go to Active Storms Forum.