Tropical Wave in NW Caribbean/Yucatan (Is Invest 95L)

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Gustywind
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#201 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 24, 2013 5:05 am

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013

TROPICAL WAVE OVER S GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM 23N89W TO
INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AT 14N90W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE THAT
COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO AS DEPICTED ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 88W-94W.
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#202 Postby Gustywind » Sat Aug 24, 2013 6:27 am

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013

TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM 23N91W TO
BEYOND S GUATEMALA AT 13N90W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE TO DEEP MOISTURE ON
SSMI IMAGERY THAT COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND CENTRAL
AMERICA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
MAINLY E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 14N-22N BETWEEN 80W-90W.
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cycloneye
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Re: Tropical Wave in NW Caribbean/Yucatan-20%-20%

#203 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 24, 2013 6:38 am

THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR CONDUCIVE WHEN THIS SYSTEM
MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY...
AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM GETS FAR ENOUGH
OFFSHORE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
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Re: Tropical Wave in NW Caribbean/Yucatan-20%-20%

#204 Postby ninel conde » Sat Aug 24, 2013 6:40 am

cycloneye wrote:THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR CONDUCIVE WHEN THIS SYSTEM
MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY...
AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IF THE SYSTEM GETS FAR ENOUGH
OFFSHORE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.


i think it does have a chance to become a minimal TS if it can get over enough water. extreme south BOC is favorable right now.
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Re: Tropical Wave in NW Caribbean/Yucatan (Is Invest 95L)

#205 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 24, 2013 7:22 am

This wave is Invest 95L. Go to the 95L discussion thread
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