floridasun78 wrote:i don't any thing until after aug 15 the Atlantic and Caribbean are dead zone for tropical weather their alot sal moving cross the tropical and shear not good system and dry air too killing storms try form only area watch home grown system like barry none big models show any thing
It's possible that we don't see any development until then, but it's very normal to have lulls of activity in the Atlantic this time of year due to SAL and strong trade winds over the deep tropics. It's not surprising the models don't show anything. I'm not so sure the first half of August will be dead, though. Shear in the MDR and Caribbean has recently dropped below normal.