Typhoon Ioke Thread #2

[bostonseminole]

Wake Island Obs??

http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/data_m ... servations

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Good find...Lets watch it to tell us how strong this thing is. 995 millibars right now.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Winds so far has been 40 knots with peak guest at 50 knots.

[WindRunner]

Notice already 40kt winds without even being under the CDO yet, and probably about 8-9 hours from CPA . . . quite a large storm.

[Sanibel]

No such thing as a "brush with the weak side of the eye" with a category 5...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This storm is about 650 to 700 nmi across. Very large...In its starting to strengthen again with the cdo becoming better defined.

[CentralFlGal]

Great find, Bostonseminole!

For those who are compiling/saving pics, here's Ioke yesterday @ 6am Hawai'ian time:

Click for larger image.

[CentralFlGal]

Notice already 40kt winds without even being under the CDO yet, and probably about 8-9 hours from CPA . . . quite a large storm.

WindRunner, what does CDO and CPA stand for?

TIA.

[bostonseminole]

0Z

T0612 (IOKE)
Issued at 00:00 UTC 31 Aug 2006RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612)

ANALYSIS
PSTN 310000UTC 18.7N 168.3E GOOD
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 920HPA
MXWD 105KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST

FORECAST
24HF 010000UTC 20.5N 164.8E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 920HPA
MXWD 105KT
48HF 020000UTC 22.1N 159.6E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 920HPA
MXWD 105KT
72HF 030000UTC 23.8N 153.6E 220NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 100KT

[bostonseminole]

1890000 20060831 12:36 41.02 1.00 48.79 77.72 84.92 993.10

down to 993 with 40knt sustained winds

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wow the water level looks to be rising slowly since 1900...Interesting.
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltren ... 0TERRITORY

[bostonseminole]

The new 18z gfs has it just missing Japan, turning maybe 200 miles of the coast of Tokyo, should get some good wave action for sure

[WindRunner]

Notice already 40kt winds without even being under the CDO yet, and probably about 8-9 hours from CPA . . . quite a large storm.

WindRunner, what does CDO and CPA stand for?

TIA.

CDO - Central Dense Overcast. It's the core of the storm as it appears on satellite, the solid area of convection that all of the storm's feederbands feed in towards. Usually circular in shape, and centered around the eye if one is present.

CPA - Closest Point of Approach. Self-explanatory.

[mtm4319]

Animated .gif loop:


The arrow points to Wake Island.

[Jim Cantore]

Could somebody link me to a Goes Floater on Ioke?

[WindRunner]

No more GOES, Floyd. GOES is western hemisphere, so we get stuck with MTSAT and GMS images. GMS seems to be just as good (that's where the majority of the images on the NRL page come from), but the MTSAT images seem to be a little bit lower resoultion and they only update once an hour. Anyway, SSD page has a MTSAT floater on it here.

[WindRunner]

Oh, and if anyone is interested, new 250m resolution MODIS image from 2257Z 08/30 is up on NRL. Shows the eye right as the vortices are starting to dissipate somewhat, though you can still see a hint of the one in the NE corner somewhat.

Link

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wake island is starting to go under the convection. I wonder what the current winds are? I'm trying to get this thing to work.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wow 65 knot gust with 52 knot one minute. Pressure 988 millibars.

[bostonseminole]

Peak so far 65knots gust

1890000 20060831 14:12 44.13 1.00 56.76 987.60