Countdown to 2007 season=**2007 Season is here!!!**

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JonathanBelles
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#241 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat May 19, 2007 7:04 pm

Gotcha Luis!!! ;)
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Opal storm

#242 Postby Opal storm » Sun May 20, 2007 10:23 am

I recieved our annual Hurricane Guide book today in the newspaper. Just another sign that it's almost that time again.
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#243 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 20, 2007 3:29 pm

chadtm80 wrote:[web]http://www.storm2k.org/myspace/countdown.htm[/web]


Every year on May 31,those nights are always crowded at the chat room to recieve the new season.I think that on this May 31rst it will be the same.
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#244 Postby Berwick Bay » Sun May 20, 2007 6:04 pm

Well, I think this May 31st may be a little different. That's because I'm calling for tropical development at about that time (a Depression that is) near the western tip of Cuba. So if I'm right there will be real issues to discuss instead of some of the very forgettable banter that usually goes on the with start of the season. I'm basically going on a "sixth sense" if you will, which includes a lot of observation over the years, also, the current water vapor and shear maps, perhaps a little help from my friends, and a little luck in calling for this developing storm. Storm should be at the entrance of the Gulf of Mexico near tip of Cuba and SW of Key West. Lets see how this unfolds.
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Berwick Bay

#245 Postby Berwick Bay » Sun May 20, 2007 6:08 pm

Darn it I forgot to add the disclaimer to my forecast of tropical development near the tip of Cuba in the May 28th-May 31st time frame. Sorry. Here it is.

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#246 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun May 20, 2007 6:49 pm

Berwick Bay wrote:Well, I think this May 31st may be a little different. That's because I'm calling for tropical development at about that time (a Depression that is) near the western tip of Cuba. So if I'm right there will be real issues to discuss instead of some of the very forgettable banter that usually goes on the with start of the season. I'm basically going on a "sixth sense" if you will, which includes a lot of observation over the years, also, the current water vapor and shear maps, perhaps a little help from my friends, and a little luck in calling for this developing storm. Storm should be at the entrance of the Gulf of Mexico near tip of Cuba and SW of Key West. Lets see how this unfolds.
I think you could possibly be onto something. The models have been hinting at development in the western caribbean many times recently, and I think that means that the environment may be trying to become more favorable over time. Also, with the moisture train coming across that area, it will be primed for something to spin up. I would say there is a far chance we see an early June system spin up in that area this year. Should be interesting to monitor as the next few weeks unfold..
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#247 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun May 20, 2007 6:56 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Berwick Bay wrote:Well, I think this May 31st may be a little different. That's because I'm calling for tropical development at about that time (a Depression that is) near the western tip of Cuba. So if I'm right there will be real issues to discuss instead of some of the very forgettable banter that usually goes on the with start of the season. I'm basically going on a "sixth sense" if you will, which includes a lot of observation over the years, also, the current water vapor and shear maps, perhaps a little help from my friends, and a little luck in calling for this developing storm. Storm should be at the entrance of the Gulf of Mexico near tip of Cuba and SW of Key West. Lets see how this unfolds.
I think you could possibly be onto something. The models have been hinting at development in the western caribbean many times recently, and I think that means that the environment may be trying to become more favorable over time. Also, with the moisture train coming across that area, it will be primed for something to spin up. I would say there is a far chance we see an early June system spin up in that area this year. Should be interesting to monitor as the next few weeks unfold..


I agree with the possible spin up and lesser shear and more moist
tropical conditions...It would not be unusual that a
depression forms in next 2-3 weeks over caribbean
like with alberto last year
now whether it brings me rain is another story
I'd like some tropical depression rains
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Berwick Bay

#248 Postby Berwick Bay » Sun May 20, 2007 7:17 pm

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Yeah, I'm rationalizing this "sense" of something developing here by thinking of a definite change in upper level conditions. The trough is weakening and moving out to sea. Right now there is a strong upper level flow from west to east over the area. But my "sense" is that this will lighten as the trough moves east. Think there will be enough moisture in the area to pop up some storms near the west tip of Cuba in about a week or so. We'll see how it works out.
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#249 Postby hial2 » Sun May 20, 2007 8:14 pm

Berwick,you're going out on a limb here...but you have spunk..and I,unlike Lou Grant in the old Mary Tyler Moore show,like spunk...lookimg forward to see how good your "sense" is :D
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#250 Postby MississippiHurricane » Tue May 22, 2007 12:09 am

We are in the single digits now!
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#251 Postby Jam151 » Tue May 22, 2007 8:19 am

the NOAA outlook is still coming out today right?
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#252 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 22, 2007 8:20 am

Jam151 wrote:the NOAA outlook is still coming out today right?


Yes,later today.
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#253 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 24, 2007 3:09 pm

Time until Friday, June 1, 2007 (UTC time)
7 days
171 hours
10311 minutes
618676 seconds
Alternative version

It is 7 days, 3 hours, 51 minutes and 16 seconds until Friday, June 1, 2007 (UTC time)
Current time is

2007-05-24 20:08:44 UTC


Bearly more than a week!
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#254 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 24, 2007 7:00 pm

Time until Friday, June 1, 2007 (UTC time)
6 days
167 hours
10079 minutes
604798 seconds
Alternative version

It is 6 days, 23 hours, 59 minutes and 58 seconds until Friday, June 1, 2007 (UTC time)
Current time is

2007-05-25 00:00:02 UTC
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#255 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2007 8:32 pm

Countdown to June 1

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

It's almost here.
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#256 Postby cycloneye » Wed May 30, 2007 11:09 pm

chadtm80 wrote:[web]http://www.storm2k.org/myspace/countdown.htm[/web]
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#257 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 31, 2007 10:17 am

I mighht get caught up with all these threads by then.
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#258 Postby AnnularCane » Thu May 31, 2007 2:39 pm

Even the hours remaining are now in the single digits. :)
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#259 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 31, 2007 2:44 pm

Time until Friday, June 1, 2007 (UTC time)
0 days
4 hours
255 minutes
15325 seconds
Alternative version

It is 0 days, 4 hours, 15 minutes and 25 seconds until Friday, June 1, 2007 (UTC time)
Current time is

2007-05-31 19:44:35 UTC
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#260 Postby seaswing » Thu May 31, 2007 3:04 pm

And I do believe that Mother Nature is going to balance out this drought down here in Florida this year. Yes, I do believe......

Seas
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